Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins Picks and Prediction for Sunday July 12, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Cleveland Guardians and Miami Marlins continue their series on Sunday, July 12, 2026, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET, with television coverage on MLB.TV. Cleveland enters the matchup with a 49-46 overall record and a 25-24 mark on the road, while Miami owns a 52-43 record and an impressive 31-18 home record. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics gives the Marlins a 55.9% chance of winning compared with 44.1% for the Guardians. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers
Cleveland is scheduled to start Joey Cantillo, who enters with a 7-4 record, a 3.66 ERA, and a 1.39 WHIP over 96.0 innings. The left-hander has allowed 86 hits and 12 home runs while striking out 96 and walking 47. Miami has not yet announced a starting pitcher for Sunday’s game. Cantillo has been a dependable member of Cleveland’s rotation this season, posting a winning record while averaging one strikeout per inning.
Cleveland Tries to Keep Building Momentum
The Guardians come into Sunday’s contest with a 49-46 overall record and a 25-24 record away from home. Cleveland has won three of its last five games. The Guardians recently defeated Miami 3-2 after taking a 5-2 victory over Minnesota. Before those wins, Cleveland split two games with the Twins, losing 6-5 and 3-1, and also dropped a 7-6 game against the White Sox. The recent victories have helped Cleveland move back above .500 entering the series finale.
The Guardians are batting .227 with 376 runs, 710 hits, and 91 home runs. They have produced a .309 on-base percentage and a .368 slugging percentage. Cleveland’s pitching staff owns a 3.76 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP while holding opponents to a .237 batting average. The Guardians have recorded 852 strikeouts while issuing 315 walks. They are also 18-16 in day games.
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Cleveland’s biggest strength is its pitching. The Guardians have a substantially lower ERA than Miami and have also held opposing hitters to a lower batting average. Their 3.76 team ERA is paired with 852 strikeouts, demonstrating an ability to limit scoring opportunities even though the offense has produced fewer runs than Miami throughout the season.
Miami Looks to Defend Its Strong Home Record
Miami enters this matchup with a 52-43 overall record and one of the better home records in the matchup at 31-18. The Marlins are 4-1 over their last five games despite dropping Friday’s opener to Cleveland by a 3-2 score. Before that defeat, Miami won four straight games, defeating Seattle by scores of 8-4, 2-0, and 6-5 in 10 innings before earning a 9-8 victory over the Athletics.
The Marlins are batting .254 with 436 runs, 802 hits, and 97 home runs. They own a .331 on-base percentage and a .413 slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has compiled a 4.02 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .228. The Marlins have struck out 798 hitters while issuing 320 walks. They are 24-16 in day games.
Miami’s greatest strength is the balance between its offense and home performance. The Marlins hold the advantage over Cleveland in batting average, runs scored, hits, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. They have also played exceptionally well at home with a 31-18 record. While their team ERA is higher than Cleveland’s, Miami has still limited opponents to a .228 batting average, slightly better than the Guardians’ .237 mark.
Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins Picks and Prediction
Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins Pick
- Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline
Miami is my moneyline selection based on the stronger overall record, outstanding home performance, and more productive offense. The Marlins have won four of their last five games and have been excellent at loanDepot park with a 31-18 home record. They also hold clear advantages in batting average, runs scored, hits, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Although Cleveland has the better team ERA and won Friday’s opener 3-2, I believe Miami’s overall offensive production and home success give the Marlins the edge.
Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins Total Pick
- Pick: Take the under if the total is set at 7.5
I would take the under if the total is set at 7.5. Cleveland enters with a 3.76 team ERA, while Miami has limited opponents to a .228 batting average this season. Friday’s opener between these clubs finished with only five total runs, and Miami also recently played a 2-0 game against Seattle. With Cleveland relying on one of the better pitching staffs in this matchup and both teams capable of keeping runs off the board, I like the under if the total is set at 7.5.
Final Score Prediction: Miami Marlins 4 – Cleveland Guardians 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.
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