Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Prediction for July 24, 2026

The Colorado Rockies travel to American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, to face the Milwaukee Brewers at 4:10 p.m. on July 24, 2026, with coverage available on MLB.TV. Colorado enters the matchup with a 41-63 overall record and a 17-34 record away from home, while Milwaukee stands at 64-38 overall and 34-19 at home. ESPN Analytics gives the Rockies a 30.5% chance of winning and the Brewers a 69.5% chance. The listed game-time temperature is 81 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Before placing a wager, readers can also check out the latest free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers

Tomoyuki Sugano is scheduled to start for Colorado against Milwaukee left-hander Shane Drohan. Sugano is 9-4 with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 90.2 innings. He has allowed 94 hits and 18 home runs while recording 51 strikeouts and 23 walks. Drohan enters with a 5-3 record, a 3.20 ERA, and a 1.18 WHIP through 76 innings. He has surrendered 69 hits and six home runs while collecting 76 strikeouts against 21 walks. Drohan holds the statistical advantage in ERA, WHIP, strikeouts, hits allowed, and home runs surrendered, while Sugano has earned four more wins.

Colorado Looks to Turn Its Offensive Production Into Results

Colorado has won two of its last five games, but it enters this series after an 8-0 loss to Washington. That defeat followed an 8-7 victory, a 7-3 loss, a 9-6 loss, and a 10-3 win. The Rockies have scored at least six runs in three of those five contests, demonstrating that their offense has produced some strong performances despite the club’s 41-63 record.

The Rockies own a .255 batting average, which is slightly higher than Milwaukee’s .252 mark. Colorado has also collected 899 hits and hit 118 home runs, giving it advantages over the Brewers in both categories. Its .420 slugging percentage is considerably higher than Milwaukee’s .397, while its .325 on-base percentage trails the Brewers’ .336. Colorado has scored 495 runs this season, 19 fewer than Milwaukee.

Pitching remains the clearest statistical concern for the Rockies. They carry a 5.49 team ERA and a 1.52 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .288. The staff has issued 340 walks and recorded 735 strikeouts. Colorado’s 12-22 record in day games adds another challenge, particularly against a Milwaukee club that is 24-15 in daytime matchups. The Rockies have enough offensive production to compete, but their run prevention will need to improve substantially.

Milwaukee Brings the Stronger Overall Profile Home

Milwaukee enters this matchup having won four of its last five games. The Brewers most recently defeated New York 4-3 after losing 4-0 in the previous contest. That defeat was preceded by victories of 8-3, 3-1, and 8-6. Milwaukee has therefore demonstrated an ability to win both higher-scoring games and contests decided by narrower margins.

The Brewers have scored 514 runs while recording 874 hits and 94 home runs. Their .252 batting average and .397 slugging percentage sit slightly below Colorado’s corresponding figures, but Milwaukee owns the better on-base percentage at .336. That combination has helped the Brewers score more runs despite producing fewer hits and home runs than the Rockies.

Milwaukee’s largest advantage is its pitching staff. The Brewers have a 3.44 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and an opposing batting average of .220. They have also recorded 997 strikeouts, compared with Colorado’s 735, while issuing 322 walks. Those numbers create a substantial gap between the clubs on the mound. Milwaukee also has a strong 34-19 home record, while Colorado has struggled to a 17-34 mark on the road.

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Prediction

• Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline

Milwaukee is the preferred side based on the overall records, venue splits, matchup predictor, and pitching numbers. The Brewers are 23 games above .500 and have won 34 of their 53 home games, while Colorado has lost twice as many road games as it has won. Milwaukee also holds a major advantage in team ERA, WHIP, opposing batting average, and strikeouts. The starting matchup favors the Brewers statistically as well, supporting ESPN Analytics’ 69.5% projection for the home team.

• Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Run Line

The run line is not listed, but Milwaukee would be the preferred choice if it is set at -1.5. The Brewers enter with four wins in their last five games, while Colorado has lost three of five and was shut out in its most recent contest. Milwaukee’s 3.44 team ERA is 2.05 runs lower than Colorado’s 5.49 mark. That pitching difference, combined with the contrast between Milwaukee’s home record and Colorado’s road record, gives the Brewers a reasonable opportunity to win by multiple runs.

• Pick: Under 9.0

Take the under if the total is set at 9.0. Colorado has shown offensive potential, but the Milwaukee pitching staff has held opponents to a .220 batting average while producing a 3.44 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. The Brewers’ scheduled starter has also allowed only six home runs through 76 innings. Colorado’s pitching numbers introduce clear risk to an under selection, but Milwaukee’s run-prevention profile and the Rockies’ scoreless performance in their latest game make the under the preferred total at that number.

This Preview was written prior to game play on Thursday.