Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 13, 2025
The Detroit Tigers (84-63, 78-63-6 O/U) will be taking on the Miami Marlins (68-79, 72-72-3 O/U) on Saturday afternoon in the opening game of a three-game interleague series for our Tigers vs. Marlins prediction. This is being written ahead of Friday’s opening game of the series. Veteran right-hander Charlie Morton (9-10, 5.59 ERA) is going to be pitching in this game for the Tigers, while the Marlins are sending righty Janson Junk (6-3, 4.48 ERA) to the hill. Today’s edge: MLB predictions for Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins built on form and matchups.
Tigers Continue to be Significant Forces
The Detroit Tigers are looking to continue winning games and try to get the top spot in the American League as they are first in the AL Central with an 84-63 record up to this point. The offense is on fire as they are 10th in baseball with a .251/.320/.423 team slash line while averaging 5.0 runs per game.
The Detroit Tigers are coming off a 9-3 road loss on Thursday to the New York Yankees and it does not help being 1-for-7 with runners in scoring position. Tyler Holton recorded the loss as he allowed two runs in an inning of work as an opener.
Left fielder Riley Greene (33 HR, .826 OPA) has been clicking at the plate and could step up as a legitimate power hitter. Veteran right-hander Charlie Morton (9-10, 5.59 ERA) is going to be on the mound and is coming off a no-decision against the Chicago White Sox, where he allowed three runs on four hits with three walks and two strikeouts in three innings.
Injury Report for Detroit
- Pitcher Kyle Finnegan: Abductor (OUT)
- Center fielder Matt Vierling: Oblique (OUT)
- Pitcher Paul Sewald: Shoulder (OUT)
- Pitcher Reese Olson: Shoulder (OUT)
- Pitcher Sean Guenther: Hip (OUT)
- Pitcher Jackson Jobe: Flexor (OUT)
- Pitcher Jason Foley: Shoulder (OUT)
- Pitcher Alex Cobb: Hip (OUT)
- Pitcher Ty Madden: Shoulder (OUT)
- Pitcher Jose Urquidy: Elbow (OUT)
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Marlins Surprising People This Season
The Miami Marlins are doing a respectable job as they are third in the NL East with a 68-79 record up to this point. The Marlins are hitting at a respectable level as they are tied with the Atlanta Braves for 16th in the bigs with a .708 team OPS while averaging 4.9 runs per game.
The Miami Marlins are coming off a 5-0 home loss on Thursday to the Washington Nationals and it helps having Maximo Acosta and Javier Sanoja each steal a base. Ryan Weathers stepped up as he pitched five shutout innings in the win.
Second baseman Xavier Edwards (.282 BA, 24 SB) has been a solid young player who continues to step up at the plate. Right-hander Janson Junk (6-3, 4.48 ERA) will be taking the mound and is coming off a loss against the Washington Nationals, where he threw 4.1 innings and gave up six runs on eight hits with two walks and three strikeouts.
Injury Report for Miami
- Pitcher Valente Bellozo: Triceps (Questionable)
- Pitcher Freddy Tarnok: Ankle (OUT)
- Third baseman Connor Norby: Quad Strain (OUT)
- Left fielder Derek Hill: Hamstring (OUT)
- Pitcher Edward Cabrera: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Tyler Zuber: Lat (OUT)
- Pitcher Anthony Bender: Tibia (OUT)
- Center fielder Dane Myers: Oblique (OUT)
- Pitcher Ryan Gusto: Shoulder (OUT)
- Third baseman Griffin Pauley: Shoulder (OUT)
- Left fielder Kyle Stowers: Oblique (OUT)
- Pitcher Jesus Tinoco: Forearm (OUT)
- Pitcher Max Meyer: Hip (OUT)
- Left fielder Griffin Conine: Arm (OUT)
- Pitcher Andrew Nardi: Back (OUT)
Detroit Tigers vs. Miami Marlins Pick
Spread Pick for Detroit Tigers vs. Miami Marlins
- Detroit Tigers ML (5 units)
Charlie Morton and Janson Junk have struggled this season, but there is a gap with the bullpens. The Tigers are 13th in the majors with a 4.04 reliever ERA, while the Marlins are 22nd with a 4.39 bullpen ERA up to this point. The ability to avoid hitting into double plays shows a significant gap as Detroit is third in the sport with 81 double plays hit into while Miami is 10th with 89 double plays hit into right now. All in all, go with the Detroit Tigers to secure the win.
Over/Under Pick for Detroit Tigers vs. Miami Marlins
- Under (5 units)
The previous seven starts for these pitchers are showing they are struggling as Charlie Morton is 2-2 with a 6.09 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP in 34.0 innings, while Janson Junk is 2-1 with a 6.57 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in 37.0 innings in that stretch. During the last seven days, these teams are scoring extremely well as the Tigers are averaging 7.2 runs per game while the Marlins are scoring 5.33 runs per game. The over is 5-4-1 in their previous 10 games against each other, so take the over here.
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