Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction for Monday June 29 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/29/2026, 12:10 AM ET
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The Detroit Tigers travel to Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York, for a matchup against the New York Yankees on Monday, June 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET, and the game will be televised on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks before placing any wagers.

Starting Pitchers Ready to Open the Series

Casey Mize gets the start for Detroit. He enters the game with a 2-5 record, a 2.95 ERA, a 1.07 WHIP, 58.0 innings pitched, 48 hits allowed, 58 strikeouts, 14 walks, and 4 home runs surrendered. New York will counter with Ryan Weathers, who is 3-5 with a 3.95 ERA, a 1.14 WHIP, 86.2 innings pitched, 75 hits allowed, 95 strikeouts, 24 walks, and 16 home runs allowed. Based on the numbers provided, Mize has been more effective in limiting runs and baserunners, while Weathers has logged more innings and generated more strikeouts.

Detroit Looks to Reverse Its Recent Slide

The Tigers enter this contest with a 35-48 overall record and a 12-28 record away from home. Detroit has recently lost to Houston twice, earned a shutout victory over Houston, and previously dropped two close games to New York. The Tigers have gone 1-4 over their last five games, with three of those defeats coming by two runs or fewer.

Detroit is batting .235 with 339 runs, 645 hits, 93 home runs, a .314 on-base percentage, and a .394 slugging percentage. The pitching staff owns a 3.80 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, 253 walks, 670 strikeouts, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Tigers are also 16-15 in day games.

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Detroitโ€™s biggest strength entering this matchup is its pitching. The Tigers own a lower team ERA than New York and have kept opponents to a .239 batting average. Those numbers have helped keep many of their games competitive despite their overall record.

New York Returns Home With the Better Overall Record

The Yankees come into Monday nightโ€™s game with a 48-34 overall record and a 22-15 mark at home. New York has recently lost three straight games to Boston after previously winning back-to-back games against Detroit. Although the Yankees have stumbled in their most recent series, they remain well above .500 entering this contest.

New York is hitting .241 with 405 runs, 656 hits, 121 home runs, a .325 on-base percentage, and a .431 slugging percentage. The pitching staff has posted a 3.34 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, 250 walks, 710 strikeouts, and a .227 opponent batting average. The Yankees are 17-12 in day games.

The Yankeesโ€™ greatest advantage is their balanced production. They lead Detroit in runs scored, home runs, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, team ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. Those numbers give New York one of the stronger statistical profiles in this matchup despite the recent three-game losing streak.

Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction

Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Pick

  • Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline

New York is my selection in this matchup. While Detroit appears to have the edge in the starting-pitching matchup based on the provided statistics, the Yankees have the better overall record and hold advantages in nearly every major team category. Their offense has produced significantly more runs and home runs, while the pitching staff owns a lower ERA, lower WHIP, and a better opponent batting average. Those team advantages are enough for me to back New York at home.

Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 8

I would take the under if the total is set at 8. Detroitโ€™s team ERA sits at 3.80, while New York has been even better at 3.34. Both pitching staffs have kept opponent batting averages below .240, and the projected starters also bring ERAs below 4.00 into this game. With those numbers in mind, I expect pitching to be the biggest factor and would lean toward a lower-scoring contest.

Final Score Prediction: New York Yankees 4 โ€“ Detroit Tigers 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Sunday.

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