Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction for Wednesday September 16 2026

The Detroit Tigers visit the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario, on Wednesday, September 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07 PM ET with coverage on MLB.TV. Detroit enters at 71-79 overall and 32-43 on the road, while Toronto is 75-76 overall and 39-37 at home. The Tigers have won five straight games and took the completed series opener 6-5, while Toronto has dropped three of its last five. Detroit is +100 on the moneyline and -1.5 (+168) on the run line, while Toronto is -120 on the moneyline and +1.5 (-206). The total is 8.5 runs, with the Over at -105 and Under at -115. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks for more MLB predictions throughout the season.

Starting Pitchers

Detroit is scheduled to start Keider Montero, who enters at 9-8 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.03 WHIP through 147 innings. He has allowed 117 hits and 17 home runs while recording 98 strikeouts against 34 walks. Toronto counters with Max Scherzer, who is 2-8 with a 6.38 ERA and 1.37 WHIP through 67.2 innings. He has surrendered 65 hits and 14 home runs while striking out 51 and walking 28. The numbers supplied for this matchup give Detroit a significant starting-pitching advantage. Montero owns an ERA nearly three runs lower and a WHIP .34 lower, while also carrying a much stronger record over more than twice as many innings.

Detroit Carries a Five-Game Winning Streak Into Toronto

Detroit enters Wednesday at 71-79 overall and 32-43 away from home. The Tigers have suddenly become one of the hotter teams in the supplied recent results, winning five consecutive games. They defeated Toronto 6-5 in the completed series opener after sweeping their three-game set against Colorado by scores of 8-1, 11-7 and 6-2. Detroit's winning streak began with a 7-2 victory over Minnesota, giving the Tigers 38 runs across those five games.

Detroit is batting .239 with 672 runs, 1,210 hits and 169 home runs. The Tigers carry a .316 on-base percentage and .399 slugging percentage. Their pitching numbers are considerably stronger, with a 3.66 team ERA and 1.22 WHIP while holding opponents to a .233 batting average. Detroit has recorded 1,203 strikeouts against 469 walks and owns a 29-29 record in day games.

The Tigers' recent offense is encouraging, but their pitching advantage is the more important factor Wednesday. Detroit has the lower team ERA, lower WHIP and lower opponent batting average in this matchup, and those advantages are reinforced by the scheduled starting pitchers. The Tigers have also outscored opponents 38-17 during their five-game winning streak. That combination gives Detroit a strong opportunity to extend its current run despite entering as the road team.

Toronto Looks to Answer After Dropping the Series Opener

Toronto comes into the matchup at 75-76 overall and 39-37 at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays are 2-3 over their last five games after falling 6-5 to Detroit in the completed series opener. Toronto previously took two of three from Baltimore, winning 8-1 and 7-3 around a 7-4 loss, after being shut out 2-0 on the road against the Athletics. The Blue Jays remain four games better than Detroit in the overall standings but enter Wednesday trying to prevent the Tigers from extending their winning streak.

The Blue Jays are batting .249 with 613 runs, 1,268 hits and 148 home runs. Toronto owns a .311 on-base percentage and .386 slugging percentage. Its pitching staff carries a 3.91 ERA and 1.29 WHIP while opponents are batting .236. Toronto has recorded 1,313 strikeouts against 549 walks and owns an even 33-33 record in day games.

Toronto's .249 batting average is 10 points better than Detroit's, but the Tigers have produced 59 more runs and 21 more home runs. Detroit also owns the better on-base and slugging percentages despite its lower batting average. The Blue Jays' biggest concern Wednesday is the starting matchup. Toronto's scheduled starter enters with a 6.38 ERA, and that creates a difficult path against a Detroit club that has scored at least six runs in each game of its five-game winning streak.

Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction

Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline (+100)

Take the Detroit Tigers moneyline (+100). Toronto has the better overall record and home-field advantage, but the supplied numbers point strongly toward Detroit in Wednesday's matchup. The Tigers have won five straight, own the better team ERA and WHIP and have the substantial advantage between the scheduled starters. Detroit has also scored at least six runs in five consecutive games and already took the completed series opener. With the Tigers available at even money rather than laying a price with Toronto, Detroit is the preferred side.

Pick: Over 8.5 (-105)

Take the Over 8.5 (-105). Detroit has scored 38 runs during its five-game winning streak, averaging 7.6 runs per game over that stretch, and Wednesday presents another favorable opportunity against a Toronto starter carrying a 6.38 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Four of Detroit's last five games have reached at least eight combined runs, including totals of 11, 9, 18 and 8 in its four most recent games. Toronto has also scored at least five runs in three of its last four. Detroit's stronger starting pitching creates some Under risk, but the Tigers' current offensive production and Toronto's starting-pitching numbers make the Over 8.5 the better total play.

Final Picks: Detroit Tigers Moneyline (+100) and Over 8.5 (-105)

This preview was completed on Tuesday. Starting pitchers, betting lines and other game information are subject to change before the game begins.