Free MLB Picks Today – MLB Best Bets For Friday, September 26 2025
Use Code SSWC Friday’s MLB board is loaded with opportunity, and we’re locked in on three key matchups. After a tough Wednesday, it’s bounce-back time with plays built on pitching breakdowns, lineup performance, and recent trends. The goal is simple—seize the value on the board and turn sharp analysis into winning results.
Below, let's take a look at some of my favorite MLB picks for today, in best bets form.
Best Bet #1 - Philly Gets Us Started For Tonight
Philadelphia enters tonight’s matchup against Minnesota with the luxury of a locked-in playoff spot but no intention of easing off the gas. Aaron Nola gets the start, and while his season has been uneven, he’s still capable of commanding a Twins lineup that’s been inconsistent on the road. With Citizens Bank Park playing hitter-friendly and Nola backed by a rested bullpen, the Phillies are well-positioned to control tempo early. Joe Ryan counters for Minnesota, and while his strikeout numbers are solid, he’s been prone to giving up the long ball—especially to left-handed power.
Offensively, the Phillies remain dangerous even without the pressure of a playoff chase. Bryce Harper’s plate discipline and Kyle Schwarber’s home run threat give Philadelphia a clear edge against Ryan’s fastball-heavy approach. Alec Bohm and Bryson Stott add contact depth, and if the Phils can capitalize on early scoring chances, they’ll force Minnesota into its middle relief—a unit that’s struggled to hold leads late. With momentum and home-field energy on their side, Philadelphia should be able to close out a high-scoring win and sharpen their edge heading into October.
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Best Bet#1
- Philadelphia -150
Best Bet #2 - Mets Keep Playoff Hopes Alive With A Big Win
With Brandon Sproat on the mound and postseason survival at stake, the Mets enter tonight’s opener against Miami with full throttle intensity. Sproat, making just his fourth big-league start, has shown flashes of promise with a 3.94 ERA and a .228 opponent batting average, but he’ll need to stay composed against a Marlins lineup that’s been swinging hot—especially Eric Wagaman and Xavier Edwards, who’ve combined for 30 hits over their last 10 games. The Mets’ bullpen has been leaned on heavily, but with high-leverage arms rested and ready, manager Carlos Mendoza should have a short leash if Sproat stumbles early.
Sandy Alcantara gets the ball for Miami, and while his pedigree is elite, his 5.48 ERA and declining strikeout rate suggest he’s not the same ace who won the Cy Young. New York’s offense, powered by Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, and Juan Soto, has been surging—ranking top five in home runs and slugging percentage. With the season series tied 5–5 and the Mets clinging to Wild Card hopes, expect a focused, aggressive approach at the plate and a playoff-caliber urgency on the mound. If they can jump Alcantara early and protect a lead, the Mets are well-positioned to take control of the series and keep their October dreams alive.
Best Bet #2
- NY Mets -137
Best Bet #3 - We Finish Up With A Pitcher's Duel In Milwaukee
Tonight’s Reds-Brewers matchup at American Family Field sets up well for a low-scoring affair, with the total sitting at 8 and two capable starters on the mound. Quinn Priester (13-2, 3.25 ERA) has quietly anchored Milwaukee’s rotation, holding opponents to a .238 batting average and allowing just three earned runs across 10.1 innings in two prior outings against Cincinnati. His ability to work deep into games and limit hard contact—especially at home—gives the Brewers a strong foundation to suppress run production early. On the other side, Zack Littell (10-8, 3.86 ERA) has been steady, and while his FIP suggests some regression, he’s backed by a Reds bullpen that ranks top 10 in holds and has converted 63% of save opportunities.
Both offenses have cooled heading into this series. Cincinnati is batting just .235 over its last 10 games, while Milwaukee is hitting .247 with a modest .358 slugging percentage during the same stretch. The Reds have leaned on timely pitching to go 7-3 in that span, and their defense ranks fourth in MLB in converting balls in play into outs. With playoff positioning already secured for Milwaukee and Cincinnati clinging to faint hopes, expect a tight, strategic game where runs are earned—not given. A 4–2 or 3–3 type outcome feels likely, keeping this one comfortably under the number.
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Best Bet#3
- Cincinnati/Milwaukee Under 8
Recapping today's MLB Best Bets
- Philadelphia -150
- New York Mets -137
- Cincinnati/Milwaukee Under 8
