Free MLB Picks Today - MLB Best Bets For Friday, September 5 2025
The MLB season continues to bring excitement, drama, and plenty of betting value. Tonight, we’ve locked in three top opportunities with our MLB best bets and predictions. Backed by sharp analysis, pitching matchups, and offensive trends, these plays are designed to give you the edge and maximize your winnings on the diamond.
Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves (Total)
Tonight’s Mariners-Braves matchup at Truist Park sets up as a classic Under 7.5 spot, with two frontline starters and inconsistent offenses likely to keep the scoreboard quiet. Chris Sale (2.45 ERA) has been dominant for Atlanta, posting eight straight quality starts and holding opponents to a .229 average. He’ll face Logan Gilbert (3.73 ERA), who’s been steady and is expected to work deep given Seattle’s taxed bullpen. Both teams have struggled to string together runs—Atlanta has scored just 19 total over its last five games, while Seattle managed only 11 across a three-game sweep in Tampa. With key bats missing (Austin Riley for Atlanta, bullpen depth for Seattle), and both managers likely to lean on their starters, this profiles as a 3–2 grinder that stays comfortably under the number.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees (Total)
Tonight’s Blue Jays–Yankees matchup at Yankee Stadium sets up as a strong Over 8.5 play, with both lineups surging and the ballpark ranked sixth in MLB for home run friendliness. The Yankees are averaging 7.5 runs per game over their last 10 outings, while Toronto has posted 6.7 per game in that same stretch, including a 13-run outburst against Cincinnati earlier this week. Kevin Gausman (3.75 ERA) has struggled against New York this season, allowing 9 earned runs across 14.2 innings, and rookie Cam Schlittler, despite a solid 2.61 ERA, faces a Jays offense that ranks fourth in slugging and first in total hits. With Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. all swinging hot bats, and seven of the last ten head-to-head matchups clearing this total, expect a 6–5 type shootout that cashes the over before the late innings.
Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay enters tonight’s home tilt against Cleveland riding a six-game win streak at George M. Steinbrenner Field, and they’re well-positioned to extend it behind Griffin Jax, who’s posted a 2.22 ERA over the Rays’ last 10 games. The Guardians counter with Gavin Williams (9–5, 3.26 ERA), but their offense has sputtered—batting just .196 over the past 10 contests while being outscored by six runs. Tampa’s lineup, led by Junior Caminero (40 HR, 102 RBI) and Brandon Lowe (28 HR), has outpaced opponents by 30 runs in that same span. With Cleveland ranking bottom-five in slugging and hits, and Tampa’s bats clicking at home, expect the Rays to control tempo early and cover the -1.5 run line in a 5–2 type win.
The Picks Are In:
- Seattle/ Atlanta Under 7.5
- Toronto/ NY Yankees Over 8.5
- Tampa Bay -140 over Cleveland
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