Free World Series Props for Toronto vs LA Dodgers
Game 3 of the World Series brings the spotlight to Toronto and Los Angeles as the Blue Jays and Dodgers square off in a pivotal matchup. We’ve broken down the numbers, pitching matchups, and key trends to uncover three prop plays packed with value and primed for profit tonight.
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World Series Prop Bet #1: Max Scherzer Under 11.5 Outs Recorded
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Max Scherzer’s outs prop of 11.5 (essentially needing to complete 4 full innings) is a tough ask given both his age and recent workload. At 41 years old, Scherzer has shifted into more of a short-leash veteran role, and Toronto has been quick to manage his innings closely. He averaged just 5.1 innings per start in the regular season and has only gone beyond 5 innings once since September. In his lone postseason outing this year, he lasted 5.2 innings, but that came with a favorable matchup and plenty of rest. The Dodgers present a much tougher challenge. Their lineup is deep, lefty-heavy, and patient—traits that drive up pitch counts and force early exits. Scherzer also struggled down the stretch of the regular season (5.19 ERA, 1.38 WHIP), and Toronto’s bullpen has been leaned on heavily in October, suggesting the Blue Jays won’t hesitate to pull him at the first sign of trouble. With Los Angeles capable of grinding at-bats and Scherzer unlikely to be stretched deep into the game, the Under 11.5 outs recorded is the sharper side.
👉 Bottom line: Between his age, recent usage patterns, and the Dodgers’ ability to elevate pitch counts, Scherzer faces an uphill battle to reach the 4th inning cleanly. The Under 11.5 outs is well-supported by both matchup and recent form.
World Series Prop Bet #2: Race to 3 Runs - LA Dodgers
The Race to 3 Runs prop sets up well for Los Angeles in Game 3. The Dodgers return home after splitting the first two games in Toronto, and they’ll have Tyler Glasnow on the mound, who has been dominant this postseason with a 0.68 ERA across 13.1 innings. That stability on the pitching side gives LA a strong chance to control the early innings. On offense, the Dodgers have been consistent at Dodger Stadium all year, averaging 5.1 runs per game at home, and they’ve scored at least three runs in seven of their last nine playoff games. Toronto counters with Max Scherzer, who has struggled with efficiency and durability at this stage of his career. He posted a 5.19 ERA in the regular season and has been vulnerable to patient, power-heavy lineups like the Dodgers. With Mookie Betts and Shohei Ohtani setting the tone at the top of the order, LA has multiple paths to push across early runs.
👉 Bottom line: With Glasnow giving them a strong chance to suppress Toronto’s bats early and their own lineup built to pressure Scherzer, the Dodgers to win the Race to 3 Runs is a sharp prop angle in Game 3.
World Series Prop Bet #3: Shohei Ohtani Over 2.5 Runs/Hits/RBIS
Shohei Ohtani’s combined Runs + Hits + RBIs prop of 2.5 is well within reach given his current form and the matchup. Ohtani enters Game 3 on a five-game hitting streak, batting .350 with four home runs, a triple, and six RBIs in that span. He’s been locked in at the plate, averaging 4.2 total bases per game over his last five, and has already driven in seven runs across six home playoff games at Dodger Stadium. The matchup against Max Scherzer is favorable. Scherzer has struggled against left-handed hitters this season, allowing a .288 ISO and 2.5 HR/9 to lefties. Ohtani profiles extremely well against Scherzer’s pitch mix, having posted an ISO of .282 or higher against each of his five pitches during the regular season. With Mookie Betts hitting ahead of him and Freddie Freeman behind him, Ohtani is almost guaranteed multiple opportunities to contribute across runs, hits, and RBIs.
👉 Bottom line: With his bat heating up at the perfect time and Scherzer vulnerable to left-handed power, the Over 2.5 Runs + Hits + RBIs for Ohtani is a strong play backed by both recent form and matchup data.
Recapping Today's World Series Prop Best Bets
- Max Scherzer Under 11.5 Outs Recorded (+119)
- Race to 3 Runs - LA Dodgers (-150)
- Shohei Ohtani Over 2.5 Runs/Hits/RBIs (-123)
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