Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Picks and Prediction for Sunday, September 7, 2025
In the closing game of a three-game American League West series, the Houston Astros are taking on the Texas Rangers inside Globe Life Field on Sunday afternoon in our Astros vs. Rangers prediction. This article is being written ahead of Saturday’s game. The Astros are first in the AL West with a 77-65 record and are sending right-hander Luis Garcia to the mound. The Rangers are third in the AL West with a 73-69 record and have veteran southpaw Patrick Corbin getting the ball. Today’s edge: MLB predictions for the Houston Astros vs the Texas Rangers with form and matchup notes.
Astros Looking to Shake Off Recent Slide
The Houston Astros are looking to recover after their 4-3 12-inning road loss against the Texas Rangers on Friday. The lineup was able to go 9-for-43 with a pair of walks and 11 strikeouts on the day as Carlos Correa hit a home run. Houston went just 2-for-14 with runners in scoring position and stranded nine men on base. Colton Gordon did not factor into the decision as he pitched 4.2 innings and allowed three runs.
The Astros are sending right-hander Luis Garcia to pitch and he is coming off his 2025 debut as he pitched six innings and allowed three runs on three hits with zero walks and six strikeouts over six innings against the Los Angeles Angels in a victory. He has shown to be a solid pitcher throughout his career but it will be interesting to see the length he can give here. Garcia faced the Rangers once in 2023 in a losing effort as he pitched five innings and gave up five runs on six hits with two walks and seven strikeouts.
Injury Report for Houston
- Pitcher Kaleb Ort: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Spencer Arrighetti: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher John Rooney: Concussion/Nasal (OUT)
- Pitcher Bennett Sousa: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Brandon Walter: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Josh Hader: Shoulder (OUT)
- Third baseman Isaac Paredes: Hamstring (OUT)
- Second baseman Brendan Rodgers: Oblique (OUT)
- Center fielder Jake Meyers: Calf (OUT)
- Right fielder Zach Dezenzo: Hand (OUT)
- Right fielder Pedro Leon: Knee (OUT)
- Pitcher Ronel Blanco: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Hayden Wesneski: Elbow (OUT)
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Rangers Looking to Gain Ground in Playoff Race
The Texas Rangers are looking to continue playing well after Friday’s 4-3 walk-off home win in 12 innings against the Houston Astros in their most recent game. The Rangers were able to go 9-for-42 with six walks and 12 strikeouts at the plate as Jake Burger hit a homer while Ezequiel Duran stole a base. Texas was only 1-for-14 with runners in scoring position while leaving 15 men on base. Merrill Kelly pitched well in a no-decision as he allowed one run over seven innings.
Veteran lefty Patrick Corbin is going to be taking the mound for the Rangers in this game and has been struggling a bit as he is 7-9 with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP in 136.2 innings over 26 starts. He has been able to limit the number of hits allowed as he has a .266 batting average against so far. Corbin last faced the Astros in 2023 as a member of the Washington Nationals in a losing effort as he allowed two runs on four hits with five walks and five strikeouts in five innings on the hill.
Injury Report for Texas
- Right fielder Adolis Garcia: Quad (OUT)
- Pitcher Jon Gray: Shoulder (OUT)
- Pitcher Danny Coulombe: Shoulder (OUT)
- Shortstop Corey Seager: Appendectomy (OUT)
- Center fielder Evan Carter: Wrist (OUT)
- Pitcher Nathan Eovaldi: Rotator Cuff (OUT)
- Second baseman Marcus Semien: Foot (OUT)
- Center fielder Sam Haggerty: Oblique (OUT)
- Pitcher Tyler Mahle: Shoulder (OUT)
- Pitcher Cody Bradford: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Josh Sborz: Shoulder (OUT)
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Pick
Spread Pick for Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
- Texas Rangers -105 (4 units)
This game is going to mean a lot as the Rangers are looking to lessen the division lead of the Astros and make a postseason berth. It has been a different story for Patrick Corbin on the road and at home this season as Corbin is 3-4 with a 3.20 ERA and a .245 batting average against in 64.2 innings (12 home starts). Both bullpens have been doing well, but there is a slight difference as the Astros are ninth in the bigs with a 3.74 reliever ERA while the Rangers are seventh with a 3.66 bullpen ERA thus far.
Over/Under Pick for Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
- Over (5 units)
Luis Garcia is a complete question mark coming off injury, while Patrick Corbin is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP in 32.0 innings during his previous seven starts. Both teams are scoring well since the Midsummer Classic, as the Rangers are averaging 4.82 runs in their 45 games while the Astros are scoring 3.87 runs in their 46 games. All in all, go with the over as the better bet to make for this game.
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