Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction for Friday, July 10, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Kansas City Royals travel to Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland, to take on the Baltimore Orioles on Friday, July 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET, and the game will be televised on MLB.TV. Kansas City enters the matchup with a 38-55 record and a 17-29 mark on the road, while Baltimore is 42-51 overall and 24-25 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics gives the Orioles a 55.3% chance to win, while the Royals are at 44.7%. Be sure to check out our free MLB Picks.
Starting Pitchers
Kansas City is expected to hand the ball to Luinder Avila, who enters the game with a 4-3 record, a 5.05 ERA, a 1.59 WHIP, and 51.2 innings pitched. He has allowed 51 hits, struck out 47 batters, walked 31, and surrendered five home runs. Baltimore is projected to start Brandon Young, who brings a 7-2 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 77.1 innings. He has given up 75 hits while recording 62 strikeouts, issuing 30 walks, and allowing seven home runs. Based on the numbers provided, Young owns the stronger record, lower ERA, and lower WHIP heading into Friday night’s matchup.
Kansas City Aims to Keep Building Momentum
The Royals enter Friday with a 38-55 overall record and a 17-29 road record. Despite their season mark, Kansas City has won three of its last five games. The Royals recently lost to the Mets but also recently won over the Mets once and recently won over the Phillies twice before dropping another game to Philadelphia.
Kansas City is batting .248 as a team with 402 runs, 776 hits, 93 home runs, a .319 on-base percentage, and a .398 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Royals own a 4.86 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP. Their pitching staff has issued 358 walks while striking out 709 batters, and opponents are batting .263 against them. Kansas City also owns a 15-20 record in day games.
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The biggest challenge for Kansas City has been run prevention. The Royals have the higher ERA, higher WHIP, and higher opponent batting average compared to Baltimore. Those numbers have made it difficult to consistently turn offensive production into victories throughout the season.
Baltimore Returns Home Looking to Bounce Back
The Orioles come into this contest with a 42-51 overall record and a 24-25 record at home. Baltimore has dropped three consecutive games, recently losing twice to the Cubs after previously losing to Cincinnati. Before that stretch, the Orioles earned back-to-back victories over the Reds.
Baltimore is hitting .239 with 425 runs, 741 hits, and 108 home runs. The Orioles own a .319 on-base percentage and a .397 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has posted a 4.40 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .253 batting average. Baltimore has also recorded 734 strikeouts and 328 walks, along with an 18-22 record in day games.
Baltimore’s biggest advantage entering this game is its pitching. The Orioles have the better ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average, while also receiving the stronger statistical performance from their projected starter. Those numbers help offset the recent losing streak.
Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction
Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles Pick
- Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline
Baltimore gets the edge based strictly on the supplied information. While Kansas City has played slightly better over its last five games, the Orioles have the stronger starting pitcher, the better team pitching numbers, and the higher win probability according to ESPN Analytics. Baltimore also owns the better overall record, making the home team the selection.
Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles Total Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
I’m leaning toward the under if the total is set at 8.5. Baltimore enters with the stronger overall pitching profile, including a 4.40 team ERA and a 1.37 WHIP, while Brandon Young has posted a 3.38 ERA this season. Those numbers give me confidence that scoring stays in check for much of the game.
Final Score Prediction: Baltimore Orioles 5 – Kansas City Royals 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.
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