Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction and Picks - September 9, 2025
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction and Picks - September 9, 2025
The Royals are facing off against the Guardians in game two of their series at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio; keep reading for our Royals versus Guardians prediction. The Royals are third in the AL Central with a record of 73-71. Cleveland is second in the AL Central with a record of 73-70. The Guardians have a record of 6-4 against the Royals this season. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT. When it comes to MLB picks, our MLB Predictions are stellar.
Royals Lose Critical Game
The Royals are coming off a loss on Monday versus the Guardians with a final score of 10-2. This is the fifth loss for the Royals in their last eight games. Kansas City is three spots away from a wild card position as they have a winning record of .507 after their loss to the Guardians and have two teams between them and the bottom wild card position, belonging to the Mariners with a winning percentage of .528.
Kansas City this season has relied on its pitching as their hitting has struggled, ranking 28th overall in runs and 19th overall in batting average at .244. With a slugging percentage of .392 (23rd), the Royals are not hitting the ball well enough to bring home any runners they get on base. To make up for this the Royals rank fourth overall in ERA at 3.68, fourth overall in home runs, and tenth overall in walks. In their last game, we saw their pitching crumble and with no surprise, the Royals’ batting was unable to find enough runs to help keep the team close.
Left-handed pitcher Noah Cameron will be starting for the Royals on Tuesday.
Noah Cameron:
- has a 7-6 record with an ERA of 3.03 and 88 strikeouts in 20 appearances this season.
- has not allowed any runs on 3 hits with 1 walk and 6 strikeouts in 5 innings versus the Guardians in his career.
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Guardians Closing In On Wild Card
The Guardians picked up a win on Monday versus the Royals with a final score of 10-2. This is the fourth win in a row for the Guardians and their fifth win in their last six games. Cleveland has closed the gap on their race for the wild card, but still sits two positions out, trailing behind the Rangers with their .510 winning percentage.
Cleveland has battled to get back into the playoff race with their recent win streak but will their recent efforts be enough to push their way to a wild card. This season, the Guardians have had a similar issue as the Royals, as they rely more on their pitching, opposed to their batting, to grab wins. However, in recent games, we have seen the Guardians’ pitching increase in quality exponentially. On the season, the Guardians rank 13th overall in ERA at 3.91 but in their last six games, the Guardians have had an ERA of 1.70.
Left-handed pitcher Joey Cantillo will take the mound for the Guardians on Tuesday.
Joey Cantillo:
- is 4-3 with an ERA of 3.73, 87 strikeouts and one save in 30 appearances this season.
- has a record of 0-1 with an ERA of 3.12 and 10 strikeouts in 4 appearances against the Royals in his career.
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction and Picks
Spread Pick for Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians
- Cleveland Money Line (-126 ) (4 units)
The Guardians have a record of 4-0 as favorites in their last four games versus the Royals at home. The Kansas City Royals are 3-7 as underdogs in their last ten games on the road. The Royals have been declining recently as their batting continues to struggle but also their pitching. I do expect a huge bounce back from their mounds’ performance in game two after allowing ten runs in their loss yesterday but it will ultimately not be enough to grab a win against Cleveland, who has been dominating at the mound and has their eyes set on the wild card.
Over/Under Pick for Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians
- Under 7.5 (-112) (4 units)
The Royals have an over/under record of 2-8 in their last ten games. Both teams have heavily relied on their pitching this year to find wins and I believe we shall see this in this game. While game one did see the Guardians score ten runs, I do not expect this to happen again as the Royals require wins to stay in the race for the wild card and they will not be able to win matching runs with the Guardians but rather in a pitching battle. We should see a low scoring game due to both teams hunting for a much needed series win.
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