Kansas City Royals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Predictions, Saturday September 13, 2025
Use Code SSWC Baseball's race to the postseason is heating up, with so many games this weekend having significant impacts on those, including this one in our Kansas City Royals vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.
The Kansas City Royals (74-74) battled back after a slow start to the 2025 campaign, and while they may end up falling short of the postseason, they've shown flashes of being a team that can compete for years to come.
On Saturday, they take on the Philadelphia Phillies (88-60), a team that's been absolutely rolling as of late, and with the NL East all but locked up, they'll use this stretch to build momentum heading into the MLB Playoffs. Read on to see our Kansas City Royals vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.
Expected pitching matchup: RHP Ryan Bergert vs. RHP Taijuan Walker.
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Can the Royals make a surprise Wild Card push?
The Kansas City Royals showed promise in 2024, and while they've been solid this season, a 34-39 record away from home has led them to third spot in the American League Central, putting them 5.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the AL. The struggle for the Royals this season has been their lineup, as they rank 28th in all of baseball in runs scored, and even with the fourth-best team ERA in the league at 3.67, it hasn't been enough for them to consistently string wins together.
On the bump for Kansas City in this one will be talented right-hander Ryan Bergert, who has a 3.48 ERA across 18 starts in San Diego and Kansas City this season, with the 28-year-old rookie striking out an impressive 68 hitters in 72.1 innings of work. Last time out for the Royals was a tough loss to these Phillies, with the team managing just two runs despite getting on base nine times in this one, as Michael Lorenzen was roughed up, allowing six runs over 3.0 innings, as they would fall 8-2.
Will the Phillies keep rolling into the postseason?
The Philadelphia Phillies have been absolutely rolling in recent times, and with the team winning 10 of their last 11 games played at home, they're building an insurmountable lead in the National League East division standings. With a 3.78 team ERA, the Phillies rank seventh in the league, and this, combined with the second-best batting average and fourth-most runs scored in baseball, has made this team has been near unstoppable over the past few months.
In this one, Philadelphia will turn to veteran right-hander Taijuan Walker, who has been steady in posting a 4.03 ERA through 30 appearances and 19 starts this season, as he has given up a total of 118 hits on the year through 111.2 innings. Last time out for the Phillies was a dominant win to start this series, with Walker Buehler grinding through 5.0 innings of one-run ball as the offense exploded behind 14 hits to pick up the massive 8-2 victory.
Kansas City Royals vs. Philadelphia Phillies pick
Money Line Pick for Royals vs. Phillies
- Philadelphia -145 (5 units)
While the pitching matchup in this one is fairly even, the Philadelphia Phillies have been absolutely dominant as of late, going 8-2 in their last 10 overall games, going 7-3 in their last 10 head-to-head encounters with the Kansas City Royals.
On top of that, they are 3-1 in their last four games against the Royals at home, and with all the momentum behind them, expect Philadelphia to make it 2-0 in this series with a big victory in this one.
Over/under Kansas City Royals vs. Philadelphia Phillies pick
- Over 8 (4 units)
As of late, every matchup between these two teams has resulted in plenty of runs, with the over being 7-3 in their last 10 head-to-head matchups, with the average combined total runs scored per game in that night being just under 11.
For the Royals, the over sits at 4-6 in their last 10 overall games, with just over four runs allowed per game in that stretch, and for the Phillies, the over comes in at 6-4 in their past 10, with an impressive 57 runs scored in that time.
Keep it simple, take the over.
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