Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Prediction for Thursday June 4 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/04/2026, 05:55 AM ET
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The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks continue their series on Thursday, June 4, 2026, at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 PM ET, and the game will be televised on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. This matchup features two winning clubs from the National League, with the Dodgers bringing one of the best records in baseball into Arizona while the Diamondbacks attempt to defend their home field. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks for additional analysis and daily selections.

Starting Pitchers

The Dodgers are scheduled to start Justin Wrobleski, while the Diamondbacks will send Ryne Nelson to the mound. Wrobleski enters the game with a 7-2 record, a 2.87 ERA, and a 1.01 WHIP across 62.2 innings. He has allowed 49 hits, struck out 40 batters, walked 14, and surrendered four home runs. Nelson comes into the contest with a 2-4 record, a 4.82 ERA, and a 1.19 WHIP over 65.1 innings. He has allowed 59 hits while striking out 52 batters, walking 19, and giving up 15 home runs.

Los Angeles Continues to Set the Standard

The Dodgers enter Thursday's contest with a 39-22 overall record and a 19-11 record on the road. Los Angeles recently won over Arizona 6-5, recently lost to Arizona 4-1, recently won over Philadelphia 9-1 and 4-2, and recently lost to Philadelphia 4-3. The Dodgers have won three of their last five games and continue to perform well both at home and away from home.

Los Angeles owns a .262 team batting average while scoring 321 runs on 534 hits. The Dodgers have hit 84 home runs and carry a .343 on-base percentage with a .444 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has been equally impressive, posting a 3.13 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .209 batting average. Dodgers pitchers have also recorded 538 strikeouts and issued only 169 walks.

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One of the biggest strengths for Los Angeles is its balance. The Dodgers lead this matchup in batting average, runs scored, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. Those advantages have helped produce a 39-22 record and a strong road mark.

Arizona Seeks a Home Response

The Diamondbacks come into this game with a 32-28 overall record and a 19-11 home record. Arizona recently lost to Los Angeles 6-5, recently won over Los Angeles 4-1, and recently lost three consecutive games to Seattle by scores of 3-2, 5-1, and 7-6 in extra innings. The Diamondbacks have dropped four of their last five contests but have remained competitive in several of those games.

Arizona is batting .245 as a team with 273 runs scored and 488 hits. The Diamondbacks have hit 53 home runs while posting a .310 on-base percentage and a .396 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, Arizona owns a 4.00 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP while holding opponents to a .242 batting average. The staff has recorded 428 strikeouts and issued 172 walks.

The strength for Arizona is its ability to compete at home. The Diamondbacks have posted a 19-11 record at Chase Field, which is significantly better than their overall winning percentage. However, they face a challenge against a Dodgers team that holds advantages in nearly every statistical category provided.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Prediction

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick

  • Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline

The Dodgers have earned the edge in this matchup based on both team and pitching statistics. Los Angeles owns the superior overall record, the stronger offensive numbers, and the better pitching profile. The starting pitching matchup also favors the Dodgers, with Wrobleski carrying a 2.87 ERA and 1.01 WHIP compared to Nelson's 4.82 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. ESPN's matchup predictor gives Los Angeles a 61.0% chance to win, further supporting the Dodgers as the preferred side.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 8.5

I would take the over if the total is set at 8.5. The first two games of this series have produced 11 and 5 total runs, including a recent 6-5 contest. Los Angeles has scored 321 runs this season and hit 84 home runs, while Arizona has also shown the ability to contribute offensively. With the Diamondbacks' starting pitcher carrying a 4.82 ERA and having allowed 15 home runs, I see enough potential offense to lean toward the over.

Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 6 – Arizona Diamondbacks 4

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Wednesday.

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