Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers, NLCS, Picks and Prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2025
The best-of-seven National League Championship Series kicks off on Monday night, so make sure you are ready to roll with our Dodgers vs. Brewers predictions. Defending champion Los Angeles (5-1 in the postseason) opens the series with LHP Blake Snell (2-0, 1.38 ERA in postseason) as their starting pitcher. As of publication, Milwaukee (3-2 in postseason) has yet to choose a starter as they round out their roster. Things get going with an 8:08 EST first pitch from American Family Field and with so much on the line this late in the season, get all of our top MLB Betting Picks and increase your bankroll!
Dodgers continue to defend the crown
For the most part, it has been smooth sailing for the Dodgers as they look to hunt for back-to-back titles. There was one speed bump in their NLDS against Philadelphia, but they ensured that series didn’t return to the East Coast when they ended it on Thursday night.
In their six playoff games, the Los Angeles offense has a .259 batting average, and they scored 31 runs. Of their 56 hits, 18 have been for extra bases, including seven home runs. Batters have struck out 56 times while drawing 18 walks and the team has yet to attempt a stolen base. Mookie Betts has a .385 average in the postseason, hitting safely in all but one game. He drove in four runs and scored one. Betts hit just .095 against the Brewers in five games this season. Kiké Hernández also hit safely in five of six games and has a .318 batting average with five runs this postseason.
On the pitching front, the Dodgers staff enters this series with a 3.38 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and opponents were hitting .206 against them. In over 56 innings, they allowed only three home runs and struck out 63 batters while walking 27. Their starters have gone 4-1 with a 2.02 ERA while relievers have chipped in with a win, two saves and a 5.75 ERA. Alex Vesia has appeared in five games out of the pen and has a 6.00 ERA. Roki Sosaki, who logged three scoreless innings in relief on Thursday, has two saves and has allowed only one hit while striking out five over 5.1 innings.
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Starter spotlight
- Blake Snell has won both of his postseason starts, striking out nine batters in each while allowing a combined two runs, five hits and five walks over 13 innings.
- Stuck out at least eight batters in seven of his last 11 outings.
- Did not face Milwaukee this season.
- Against the Brewers, Snell is 1-2 with a 5.79 ERA in three starts in his career.
- The left-hander gave up three home runs and 26 walks in the regular season as teams hit .230 against him.
- Won four straight playoff starts and is 6-3 with one save and a 2.92 ERA in 14 career postseason appearances.
Home is where the wins are for Brewers
The Brewers needed to take their divisional series against the Cubs to the limit, despite taking a 2-0 lead, but they finished business on Saturday behind a strong pitching effort and timely hitting. They’ve earned home-field advantage throughout the postseason and thus far it has paid off in a big way.
Against the Cubs, Milwaukee’s offense hit .250 and scored 22 runs in five games. They have 14 extra-base hits, with seven of them home runs and they were 2-for-2 on stolen base attempts. Brewers’ batters worked 18 free passes and struck out 34 times. Despite going 0-for-4 in Saturday’s clincher, Jackson Chourio still hit .389 in the series and drove in six runs. He did walk in Game 5 and, dating back to the regular season, has reached base in nine straight games. Andrew Vaughn and William Contreras each added two home runs to the cause, including a solo shot apiece on Saturday.
From the pitching side, Milwaukee walked away from the NLDS with a 3.35 team ERA, 1.16 WHIP and .200 opponents’ batting average. They served up a whopping nine home runs, walked 18, and struck out 46 batters. Starting pitching, what there was of it, grabbed a win and had an 8.31 ERA, while relievers claimed 30 innings of work and posted a 1.20 ERA with two wins and a save. Chad Patrick came through the bullpen doors four times for the club and tossed a perfect 4.2 innings while striking out six. Nick Mears did not allow a run in three appearances.
Starter spotlight
- The Brewers have gone with an opener in all three games not started by Freddy Peralta.
- The most likely choice is Aaron Ashby who was the Game 2 opener in the NLDS, and he’s appeared in four games and has a 5.79 ERA.
- Ashby had a 7.36 ERA in three relief appearances against Los Angeles this season.
Dodgers vs. Brewers Picks
Spread Pick for Dodgers vs. Brewers
- Los Angeles -148 (5 units)
The season series saw Milwaukee sweep all six games against the Dodgers, though these two teams last met in mid-July. A lot has happened since then and Los Angeles has a few arms ready that the Brewers have yet to see this season. The first is the Dodgers’ X-factor in Snell. He has looked every bit his two-time Cy Young self since returning from injury in early August. In his last five starts, including his two playoff efforts, the left-hander went 4-0 and allowed a total of three earned runs while striking out 46. He is also 4-0 in his last four playoff starts, so he’s always up for the moment. Milwaukee was one of the best hitting teams in the regular season versus left-handed pitching but in the playoffs, they are hitting just .218 against southpaws in 55 at-bats.
Over/Under Pick for Dodgers vs. Brewers
- Under 8 (5 units)
There was a mixed bag of results in the regular season between these two, some low scorers and some shootouts. Combined, the teams averaged 7.8 runs per game and split, 3-3, against the total. Milwaukee has been able to get some solid production out of its offense this postseason, especially at home, scoring 16 runs in their first two games. However, they scored a combined six runs in their last three games. Facing Snell, their chances are going to be vastly limited, so unless they can force him out early and get to that shaky Dodgers’ bullpen, I don’t have a ton of faith that the Brewers’ bats get rolling here. Los Angeles scored two runs in each of their last two games and only really went off versus Cincinnati in the Wild Card. This is the type of lineup where two or three guys step up at a time and carry things. The Brewers' rotation of arms should keep them off balance enough to keep the score down. Then there will be all the pregame pomp and circumstance, which only ticks the nerves up to another level for these players.
Take the under.
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