Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Picks and Prediction for July 24, 2026

The Los Angeles Dodgers visit the New York Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on July 24, 2026. The game is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. and will be televised on ESPN Unlimited and MLB.TV. Los Angeles enters the matchup with a 65-38 overall record and a 34-19 record on the road, while New York is 43-60 overall and 21-28 at home. ESPN Analytics gives the Dodgers a 51.4% chance of winning and the Mets a 48.6% chance. The listed game-time temperature is 79 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers

Roki Sasaki is scheduled to start for Los Angeles against New York left-hander Sean Manaea. Sasaki enters with a 3-5 record, a 4.98 ERA, and a 1.34 WHIP across 86.2 innings. He has allowed 82 hits and 19 home runs while recording 85 strikeouts and issuing 34 walks. Manaea is 2-5 with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP through 79.2 innings. He has surrendered 82 hits and 12 home runs while collecting 81 strikeouts and issuing 26 walks. Manaea has the slightly lower ERA, while Sasaki owns the marginally better WHIP. Sasaki has pitched seven more innings and recorded four more strikeouts, but he has also allowed seven more home runs and issued eight more walks.

Los Angeles Brings Its Complete Statistical Profile to Queens

Los Angeles enters Friday’s matchup with a 65-38 overall record and a strong 34-19 record away from home. The Dodgers have won three of their last five games, including consecutive victories over Philadelphia by scores of 9-5 and 2-1. They also recently defeated the Yankees 8-2. Their two losses during this stretch came by scores of 10-7 against Philadelphia and 2-1 against the Yankees. Los Angeles scored at least seven runs in three of its five most recent contests.

The Dodgers have recorded a .260 batting average, a .341 on-base percentage, and a .432 slugging percentage. They have accumulated 901 hits, scored 535 runs, and hit 134 home runs. Los Angeles’ pitching staff enters with a 3.55 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP while limiting opposing hitters to a .216 batting average. The staff has recorded 919 strikeouts and issued 307 walks. The Dodgers have also compiled a 50-28 record in night games.

Los Angeles holds meaningful advantages on both sides of the matchup. The Dodgers lead the Mets by 26 points in batting average, 37 points in on-base percentage, and 49 points in slugging percentage. They have also produced 116 more runs, 89 more hits, and 13 more home runs. The pitching differences are equally notable, as Los Angeles owns the lower ERA, WHIP, walk total, and opponent batting average. The scheduled starter’s 4.98 ERA is one of the few numbers that does not provide the Dodgers with a clear advantage.

New York Attempts to Reverse Its Home Results

New York brings a 43-60 overall record and a 21-28 home mark into Friday’s series opener. The Mets have won two of their last five games, recently defeating Milwaukee 4-0 and Philadelphia 6-1. Their three losses during that span came by scores of 4-3 and 8-3 against Milwaukee and 6-1 against Philadelphia. New York allowed no more than one run in each victory but scored three runs or fewer in all three defeats.

The Mets own a .234 batting average, a .304 on-base percentage, and a .383 slugging percentage. They have collected 812 hits, scored 419 runs, and hit 121 home runs. New York’s pitching staff carries a 4.23 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .237. The staff has recorded 938 strikeouts and issued 369 walks. The Mets have also posted a 23-36 record in night games.

New York’s most notable statistical strength is its ability to generate strikeouts. The Mets have recorded 938 strikeouts, which is 19 more than the Dodgers. Their scheduled starter also has the lower ERA and has allowed fewer home runs and walks than his Los Angeles counterpart. However, the broader team comparison favors the visitors. New York trails Los Angeles in every supplied offensive category, while its pitching staff has the higher ERA, WHIP, walk total, and opponent batting average.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Picks and Prediction

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Pick

• Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline

Los Angeles is my side selection based on its superior overall record, strong road performance, and advantages throughout the supplied team statistics. The Dodgers have won 22 more games than the Mets and own a 34-19 road record, while New York is seven games below .500 at home. Los Angeles leads in every listed offensive category and carries a team ERA that is 0.68 lower. The Dodgers also own the better team WHIP and opponent batting average. ESPN Analytics projects a close matchup, but the overall statistical profile supports Los Angeles.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Total Pick

• Pick: Over 8.5

Take the over if the total is set at 8.5. Both scheduled starters enter with ERAs above 4.70, and Sasaki has allowed 19 home runs in 86.2 innings. Three of Los Angeles’ last five games produced at least 10 combined runs, including final scores of 9-5, 10-7, and 8-2. The Dodgers have also scored 535 runs while recording a .341 on-base percentage and a .432 slugging percentage. New York has been involved in several lower-scoring games, but the starters’ figures and Los Angeles’ recent offensive production make the over my preferred total.

Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 6 – New York Mets 4

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.