Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Saturday, July 25, 2026
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit the New York Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on Saturday, July 25, 2026. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET, with television coverage available on MLB.TV and FOX. Los Angeles enters the matchup at 65-38 overall and 34-19 on the road, while New York stands at 43-60 overall and 21-28 at home. ESPN Analytics gives the Dodgers a 59.3% chance of winning compared with 40.7% for the Mets. The game-time temperature is listed at 78 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks before Saturday’s action begins.
Starting Pitchers for Los Angeles and New York
Yoshinobu Yamamoto is scheduled to start for Los Angeles after compiling a 10-6 record with a 2.78 ERA and 0.88 WHIP through 119.2 innings. The right-hander has allowed 80 hits and 13 home runs while recording 113 strikeouts against 25 walks. New York is expected to counter with Nolan McLean, who carries a 7-6 record, 3.34 ERA and 1.09 WHIP across 113.1 innings. The Mets’ right-hander has surrendered 83 hits and 10 home runs while collecting 135 strikeouts against 41 walks.
Los Angeles Carries an Impressive Road Profile into Queens
Los Angeles enters Saturday with a 65-38 overall record and a strong 34-19 mark away from home. The Dodgers most recently earned consecutive road victories over Philadelphia, winning 9-5 and 2-1 after losing the previous meeting 10-7. Before that series, Los Angeles split two road games against the New York Yankees, losing 2-1 after earning an 8-2 victory. The Dodgers have gone 3-2 over their last five games while scoring at least seven runs in three of those contests.
The Dodgers are batting .260 with 901 hits, 535 runs and 134 home runs. Their offense has generated a .341 on-base percentage and a .432 slugging percentage. Los Angeles’ pitching staff owns a 3.55 ERA and 1.14 WHIP while holding opposing hitters to a .216 batting average. The staff has accumulated 919 strikeouts against 307 walks. The Dodgers have also produced an excellent 49-28 record in night games.
Los Angeles’ greatest strength is its complete statistical profile. The Dodgers lead the Mets in every supplied offensive category, including batting average, runs, hits, home runs, on-base percentage and slugging percentage. They have scored 116 more runs while collecting 89 additional hits. Los Angeles also holds substantial advantages in team ERA, WHIP, walks and opponent batting average. That balance has helped the Dodgers build one of the strongest overall and road records included in Saturday’s matchup.
New York Tries to Challenge the Dodgers at Citi Field
New York enters the contest with a 43-60 overall record and a 21-28 mark at Citi Field. The Mets most recently suffered a 4-3 loss at Milwaukee after earning a 4-0 victory over the same opponent. They opened that series with an 8-3 defeat. New York previously split two road games against Philadelphia, earning a 6-1 victory after losing 6-1. The Mets have gone 2-3 over their last five contests, with both victories coming by at least four runs.
The Mets are batting .234 with 812 hits, 419 runs and 121 home runs. Their lineup owns a .304 on-base percentage and a .383 slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has recorded a 4.23 ERA and 1.31 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .237. The staff has registered 938 strikeouts and issued 369 walks. The Mets have posted a 23-36 record in night games.
New York’s most encouraging feature is its ability to produce decisive performances despite its recent inconsistency. The Mets outscored their opponents 10-1 across their two recent victories, including one shutout. Their pitching staff has also recorded 19 more strikeouts than the Dodgers. However, New York has issued 62 more walks while carrying the higher ERA, WHIP and opponent batting average. The Mets will need their run prevention to resemble those two recent victories if they are going to overcome Los Angeles’ broader statistical advantages.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction
Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Pick
- Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline
Los Angeles is the preferred side because it owns the stronger overall record, superior road performance and more favorable matchup-predictor percentage. The Dodgers enter at 65-38 overall and 34-19 away from home, while the Mets are 43-60 overall and 21-28 at Citi Field. ESPN Analytics also gives Los Angeles a 59.3% probability of winning compared with New York’s 40.7%.
The scheduled pitching matchup provides another advantage for the Dodgers. Los Angeles’ starter owns the better record, lower ERA and lower WHIP while issuing 16 fewer walks. The Dodgers also lead the Mets across every supplied offensive category and carry significantly better team pitching numbers. New York’s starter has recorded 22 more strikeouts, but Los Angeles’ combination of starting pitching, offensive production and road success makes the Dodgers the selection.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Total Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
Take the under if the total is set at 8.5. Both scheduled starters enter with ERAs below 3.35 and WHIPs below 1.10. They have combined to allow only 163 hits across 233 innings, while surrendering 23 home runs and issuing 66 walks. Those numbers point toward a starting matchup capable of limiting early scoring opportunities.
Three of Los Angeles’ last five games finished with seven combined runs or fewer, including results of 2-1, 2-1 and 8-2. Four of New York’s last five contests also remained below 8.5 total runs, with the lone exception being its 8-3 loss to Milwaukee. The Mets have been held to three runs or fewer in three of their last five games, while Los Angeles owns a 3.55 team ERA and has held opponents to a .216 batting average. The strength of the scheduled starters and recent scoring results support the under.
Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 5 – New York Mets 2
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.