Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Sunday, July 26, 2026

The Los Angeles Dodgers visit the New York Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on Sunday, July 26, 2026. The game is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET and will be televised on MLB.TV. Los Angeles enters the matchup with a 66-38 overall record and a 35-19 road mark, while New York stands at 43-61 overall and 21-29 at home. ESPN Analytics gives the Dodgers a 57.4 percent chance of winning and the Mets a 42.6 percent chance. The game information lists a temperature of 82 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers for Los Angeles and New York

Los Angeles is scheduled to start Emmet Sheehan, who enters with a 4-7 record, a 5.13 ERA, and a 1.27 WHIP across 87.2 innings. The right-hander has allowed 84 hits and 17 home runs while recording 99 strikeouts and issuing 27 walks. New York is expected to counter with Freddy Peralta. The right-hander is 5-9 with a 5.01 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP through 109.2 innings, allowing 114 hits and 17 home runs while collecting 110 strikeouts and issuing 46 walks.

Los Angeles Carries Its Road Success Into Citi Field

The Dodgers enter Sunday with a 66-38 overall record and an impressive 35-19 mark away from home. Los Angeles recently defeated New York 4-2 after earning consecutive road victories over Philadelphia by scores of 9-5 and 2-1. The Dodgers’ other two supplied results were losses of 10-7 against Philadelphia and 2-1 against the New York Yankees. Los Angeles has won three consecutive games and three of its five most recent contests.

Los Angeles is batting .261 with 539 runs, 912 hits, and 135 home runs. The Dodgers have produced a .341 on-base percentage and a .433 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 3.53 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP while issuing 309 walks and recording 930 strikeouts. Opposing hitters are batting only .216 against Los Angeles, which has compiled a 15-10 record in day games.

The Dodgers’ greatest strength is the balance displayed throughout their supplied statistics. Los Angeles leads New York by 118 runs and 96 hits while holding advantages in batting average, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. The Dodgers also have the lower team ERA and WHIP, have issued 63 fewer walks, and have held opposing hitters to a substantially lower batting average. Their winning road record gives them another clear advantage entering Sunday.

New York Looks to Slow the Dodgers at Home

The Mets enter the matchup with a 43-61 overall record and a 21-29 mark at Citi Field. New York recently lost 4-2 to Los Angeles after dropping two of three supplied results against Milwaukee. The Mets earned a 4-0 victory during that series but lost the other two games by scores of 4-3 and 8-3. New York also recently recorded a 6-1 victory over Philadelphia, leaving the club with two wins and three losses across its last five games.

New York is batting .233 with 421 runs, 816 hits, and 123 home runs. The Mets own a .303 on-base percentage and a .383 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff carries a 4.23 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP while issuing 372 walks and recording 943 strikeouts. Opposing hitters are batting .238 against New York, which has produced a 20-24 record in day games.

The Mets’ most notable statistical advantage is their pitching staff’s strikeout total. New York has recorded 943 strikeouts, which is 13 more than Los Angeles. The Mets have also received a slightly lower ERA from their scheduled starter. However, the broader team comparison presents several challenges. New York trails Los Angeles in every supplied offensive rate category, as well as runs, hits, and home runs. The Mets also have the higher team ERA, WHIP, and opposing batting average.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Pick

• Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline

Los Angeles is my side selection based on its superior overall record, strong road performance, three-game winning streak, and advantages across nearly every supplied team statistic. The Dodgers are 66-38 overall and 35-19 on the road, while the Mets are 43-61 overall and 21-29 at home. Los Angeles also recently earned a 4-2 victory in this matchup. The scheduled starters have comparable ERAs, but the Dodgers’ stronger offense and superior team pitching profile provide the more convincing statistical case.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Total Pick

• Pick: Over

Take the over if the total is set at 8.5. Both scheduled starters enter with ERAs above 5.00 and have allowed 17 home runs apiece. The Dodgers have scored 539 runs with a .261 batting average, a .341 on-base percentage, and a .433 slugging percentage. Los Angeles has also scored at least seven runs in two of its last four games. New York’s offense has been less productive, but its 4.23 team ERA and 1.31 WHIP create an opportunity for the Dodgers to drive the scoring.

Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 6 – New York Mets 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.