Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction for Friday, July 17, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Los Angeles Dodgers visit the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York, on Friday, July 17, 2026, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. The game will be televised on MLB.TV and MLB Network. Los Angeles and New York are each listed at -110 on the moneyline. The Dodgers are available at -1.5 on the run line for +145, while the Yankees are +1.5 at -176. The total is set at nine runs, with the over priced at -115 and the under at -105. Los Angeles enters at 61-36 overall and 30-17 on the road, while New York is 54-42 overall and 23-20 at home. ESPN Analytics gives the Dodgers a 49.4% chance to win and the Yankees a 50.6% chance. Be sure to check out our free MLB Picks.
Los Angeles Arrives With Strong Season Numbers
Los Angeles enters Friday’s game with a 61-36 overall record and an impressive 30-17 mark away from home. The Dodgers have recently lost four of their last five games, including defeats of 5-3, 9-2, and 9-3 against Arizona. Los Angeles also recently lost 4-3 to Colorado, while its lone victory during this five-game stretch was a 4-3 win over Colorado.
The Dodgers are batting .262 with 854 hits, 506 runs, and 127 home runs. They have recorded a .343 on-base percentage and a .434 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles pitching staff owns a 3.55 ERA and 1.14 WHIP, with 293 walks and 866 strikeouts. Opposing batters are hitting .216 against the Dodgers, who have also posted a 47-26 record in night games.
Los Angeles has several statistical strengths entering this matchup. The Dodgers hold advantages over New York in batting average, runs, hits, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, WHIP, and opponent batting average. Their 506 runs are 44 more than the Yankees have scored, while their .343 on-base percentage is 26 points higher. The primary concern is recent performance, as Los Angeles has allowed at least nine runs in two of its last three games and has scored three runs or fewer in four of its last five.
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New York Carries a Four-Game Winning Streak Home
New York enters the matchup at 54-42 overall with a 23-20 record at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees have won four of their last five games, recently earning victories of 5-3, 4-2, and 5-3 over Washington. New York also recently defeated Tampa Bay 12-4. Its only loss during the five-game stretch was a 3-0 defeat against the Rays.
The Yankees are batting .237 with 755 hits, 462 runs, and 142 home runs. They have produced a .317 on-base percentage and a .424 slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff carries a 3.39 ERA and 1.19 WHIP, with 286 walks and 832 strikeouts. Opponents are batting .228 against the Yankees, who have compiled a 34-27 record in night games.
New York’s most significant statistical strengths are its power and team ERA. The Yankees have hit 142 home runs, 15 more than the Dodgers, and their 3.39 ERA is lower than Los Angeles’ 3.55 mark. New York has also been consistent during its current four-game winning streak, scoring at least four runs in each victory while allowing no more than four. The Yankees’ lower batting average and on-base percentage remain concerns, but their recent results present a clear contrast to the Dodgers’ four losses in five games.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction
Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Pick
- Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline
New York is my moneyline selection in this matchup. The Yankees have won four consecutive games, while the Dodgers have lost four of their last five. New York also owns the lower team ERA, has hit more home runs, and holds a narrow 50.6% advantage in the ESPN matchup predictor. Los Angeles has the better overall and road records, along with advantages in most offensive categories, so the available numbers suggest a competitive game. However, the contrast in recent results and New York’s power advantage make the Yankees the preferred side at an even moneyline price.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Total Pick
- Pick: Under 9
I am taking the under nine runs. New York has allowed three runs or fewer in four of its last five games, while Los Angeles has scored three runs or fewer in four of its previous five. The Yankees carry a 3.39 team ERA, and the Dodgers have a 3.55 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP. New York’s last three games each finished with eight or fewer combined runs. Although both teams have substantial home-run totals, the supplied pitching statistics and recent scoring results provide enough support for a play on the under.
Final Score Prediction
Final Score Prediction: New York Yankees 5 – Los Angeles Dodgers 3
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