Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction for Monday, July 20, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 07/20/2026, 12:20 AM ET

The Los Angeles Dodgers will visit the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on Monday, July 20, 2026, with the opening pitch scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET. ESPN will provide national television coverage. Los Angeles enters with a 62-36 record, while Philadelphia stands at 55-44. ESPN Analytics gives the Dodgers a 59% chance of winning compared with 41% for the Phillies. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers

The starting pitching matchup will be central to a game featuring clubs with contrasting season pitching numbers. Los Angeles enters with a 3.52 team ERA, a 1.14 WHIP, and a .216 opponent batting average. Philadelphia owns a 4.20 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average. The Phillies have collected 968 strikeouts compared with 874 for the Dodgers, while Los Angeles has issued 296 walks and Philadelphia has allowed 288.

Los Angeles Takes Its Strong Road Profile to Philadelphia

Los Angeles enters Monday’s game with a 62-36 overall record and an impressive 31-17 record on the road. The Dodgers have gone 2-3 over their last five games and recently earned a 2-1 road victory over the New York Yankees. Los Angeles previously suffered three consecutive home losses against Arizona by scores of 5-3, 9-2, and 9-3. The Dodgers also recently recorded a close 4-3 home victory over Colorado.

The Dodgers are batting .261 with 508 runs, 859 hits, and 128 home runs. Los Angeles carries a .342 on-base percentage and a .432 slugging percentage. Its pitching staff has produced a 3.52 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP while issuing 296 walks and recording 874 strikeouts. Opponents are batting only .216 against the Dodgers. Los Angeles also holds a 14-10 record in day games.

The Dodgers’ greatest strength is the balance between their offense and pitching. Los Angeles leads Philadelphia in batting average, runs, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. The Dodgers have also posted the lower ERA, lower WHIP, and lower opponent batting average. Los Angeles has scored 77 more runs than Philadelphia while allowing opposing hitters to bat 37 points lower. The recent three-game losing streak against Arizona was a difficult stretch, but the supplied season numbers remain firmly in the Dodgers’ favor.

Philadelphia Seeks to Extend Its Latest Home Victory

Philadelphia comes into the matchup with a 55-44 overall record and a 26-22 record at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies have won three of their last five games. Philadelphia recently earned a 6-1 home victory over the New York Mets after suffering a 4-1 loss to the same opponent. The Phillies also recently won two road games over Detroit by scores of 5-0 and 4-2. Their other result during this stretch was a 10-2 road loss to the Tigers.

The Phillies are batting .236 with 431 runs, 786 hits, and 127 home runs. Philadelphia has recorded a .303 on-base percentage and a .399 slugging percentage. Its pitching staff owns a 4.20 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP while issuing 288 walks and collecting 968 strikeouts. Opponents are hitting .253 against the Phillies. Philadelphia has also produced a 17-18 record in day games.

Philadelphia’s strongest statistical category in this matchup is its ability to record strikeouts. The Phillies have collected 94 more strikeouts than Los Angeles and have issued eight fewer walks. Philadelphia has also limited opponents to two runs or fewer in three of its last four games. However, its overall pitching numbers trail the Dodgers, and the Phillies’ offense has lower figures in every supplied hitting category. Philadelphia will need its recent run prevention to continue against a Los Angeles team with 508 runs and a .432 slugging percentage.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick

  • Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline

Los Angeles is my moneyline selection for Monday’s game. The Dodgers have the better overall and road records and hold the advantage in every supplied offensive category. Their pitching staff also owns a lower ERA, lower WHIP, and significantly lower opponent batting average. Philadelphia has won three of its last five and enters after a 6-1 victory, but Los Angeles recently responded to three consecutive losses with a 2-1 road win. ESPN Analytics gives the Dodgers a 59% chance of winning, providing additional support for Los Angeles on the moneyline.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 8.5

Take the under if the total is set at 8.5. I am backing the under because Philadelphia has held three of its last four opponents to two runs or fewer, while the Dodgers recently limited New York to one run. Four of Philadelphia’s last five games finished with seven combined runs or fewer, with only the 10-2 loss exceeding that range. Three of Los Angeles’ last five also produced eight runs or fewer. With the Dodgers carrying a 3.52 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP, I expect this matchup to stay below the suggested total.

Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 5 – Philadelphia Phillies 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Sunday.

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