Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, July 21, 2026

The Los Angeles Dodgers travel to face the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on Tuesday, July 21, 2026. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET, with television coverage available on MLB.TV and TBS. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. This matchup brings together a Los Angeles club that owns a 63-37 overall record and a Philadelphia team that enters at 55-45. The matchup predictor gives the Phillies a 58.6% chance to win, while the Dodgers are listed at 41.4%. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks before the action begins.

Starting Pitchers for Los Angeles and Philadelphia

Eric Lauer is scheduled to start for Los Angeles opposite Zack Wheeler for Philadelphia. Lauer enters with a 4-5 record, a 4.81 ERA, and a 1.28 WHIP across 76.2 innings. He has allowed 71 hits and 18 home runs while recording 47 strikeouts against 27 walks. Wheeler has produced a 10-1 record with a 2.13 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP through 93 innings. He has surrendered 61 hits and 10 home runs while collecting 108 strikeouts and issuing 22 walks. The statistical advantage in the starting matchup belongs to Philadelphia, with its starter holding the better record, ERA, WHIP, strikeout total, and home-run allowance.

Los Angeles Brings the Better Overall Record to Philadelphia

The Dodgers enter Tuesday’s matchup at 63-37 overall and 32-18 away from home. Los Angeles recently lost 2-1 to New York but also earned victories of 8-2 and 2-1 in that series. Before those games, the Dodgers recently lost twice to Arizona by scores of 5-3 and 9-2. That gives Los Angeles two wins and three losses across its last five contests, although its strong road record remains an important part of the matchup.

Los Angeles is batting .260 as a team with 517 runs, 873 hits, and 129 home runs. The Dodgers have also recorded a .342 on-base percentage and a .430 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff carries a 3.49 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP with 301 walks and 890 strikeouts. Opposing hitters are batting just .215 against Los Angeles pitching. The Dodgers also have a 15-10 record in day games.

The clearest Los Angeles strength is its balance between offense and pitching. The Dodgers have the higher team batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, run total, and hit total in this matchup. Their pitching numbers are also better than Philadelphia’s in ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. Los Angeles has built the stronger overall record and has won 32 of its 50 road games, but the starting-pitching comparison presents a significant challenge Tuesday.

Philadelphia Can Lean on a Major Starting-Pitching Edge

The Phillies come into this game with a 55-45 overall record and a 26-23 mark at Citizens Bank Park. Philadelphia recently lost 6-1 and 4-1 to New York but also recorded a 6-1 victory in that matchup. The Phillies recently earned wins of 5-0 and 4-2 over Detroit as well. Philadelphia has therefore won three of its last five games and has remained above .500 both overall and at home.

Philadelphia is hitting .236 with 432 runs, 792 hits, and 128 home runs. The Phillies own a .303 on-base percentage and a .398 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has registered a 4.21 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP while issuing 295 walks and producing 976 strikeouts. Opponents are batting .255 against Philadelphia pitching. The Phillies have gone 17-19 in day games.

Philadelphia’s most important strength in this particular contest is the starting matchup. Its scheduled starter has a 2.13 ERA and 0.89 WHIP, compared with the 4.81 ERA and 1.28 WHIP carried by the scheduled Los Angeles starter. Philadelphia’s starter has also recorded 108 strikeouts in 93 innings while allowing only 61 hits and 10 home runs. Those numbers give the Phillies a path to offset the Dodgers’ stronger overall offensive and team-pitching production.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick

• Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline

The Dodgers have the better overall record, road record, offensive statistics, and team-pitching numbers, but Philadelphia owns the most decisive advantage in the starting-pitching matchup. The Phillies’ scheduled starter is 10-1 with a 2.13 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP, while the Dodgers’ starter is 4-5 with a 4.81 ERA. Philadelphia has also won three of its last five games and receives a 58.6% winning probability from the matchup predictor. Those factors are enough to support the Phillies at home.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Total Pick

• Pick: Under

I would take the under if the total is set at 8.5. Philadelphia’s scheduled starter has allowed only 61 hits and 10 home runs through 93 innings while producing a 2.13 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. Los Angeles also owns a strong 3.49 team ERA, a 1.14 WHIP, and a .215 opponent batting average. With both teams recently participating in several lower-scoring results, I expect the pitching numbers to keep the combined scoring below that mark.

Final Score Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies 4 – Los Angeles Dodgers 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.