Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Prediction for Thursday June 11 2026
Use Code SSWC The Los Angeles Dodgers and Pittsburgh Pirates meet on Thursday, June 11, 2026, at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM, with coverage available on MLB.TV. The gametime weather is expected to be 85 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers Featured in Pittsburgh
The Dodgers are expected to hand the ball to Justin Wrobleski, while the Pirates are scheduled to start Mitch Keller. Wrobleski enters with a 7-2 record, a 2.62 ERA, and a 1.00 WHIP across 68.2 innings. He has allowed 55 hits, struck out 44 batters, walked 14, and surrendered four home runs. Keller comes into the game with a 5-3 record, a 4.81 ERA, and a 1.23 WHIP over 73.0 innings. He has allowed 67 hits while recording 55 strikeouts, issuing 23 walks, and giving up five home runs.
Los Angeles Continues to Set the Pace
The Dodgers enter this matchup with a 43-24 overall record and a strong 21-12 record on the road. Los Angeles has gone 3-2 over its last five games. The Dodgers recently won over Pittsburgh 12-3, recently lost to the Angels 13-5, recently won over the Angels 9-2, recently won over the Angels 1-0, and recently lost to Arizona 3-2. Despite a pair of losses during that stretch, Los Angeles continues to play winning baseball and remains one of the strongest teams in this matchup.
Los Angeles is batting .264 as a team with 357 runs, 594 hits, and 91 home runs. The Dodgers have posted a .345 on-base percentage and a .443 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 3.17 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .208 batting average. Los Angeles has recorded 600 strikeouts while issuing 182 walks.
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The Dodgers' biggest strength is their complete statistical profile. They hold the advantage in batting average, runs scored, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. Those numbers help explain why Los Angeles owns the better overall record and enters this game as the favorite according to the matchup predictor.
Pittsburgh Aiming to Respond at Home
The Pirates enter Thursday's contest with a 34-33 overall record and an 18-16 record at home. Pittsburgh has struggled recently, losing four of its last five games. The Pirates recently lost to Los Angeles 12-3, recently lost to Atlanta 3-2, recently lost to Atlanta 6-3, recently lost to Atlanta 6-3, and recently won over Houston 5-1. The recent results have made it difficult for Pittsburgh to build momentum heading into this series.
Pittsburgh is batting .252 with 336 runs, 581 hits, and 77 home runs. The Pirates own a .334 on-base percentage and a .398 slugging percentage. On the mound, Pittsburgh has posted a 4.11 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .233. The Pirates have drawn 244 walks and recorded 612 strikeouts this season.
One positive for Pittsburgh is that the offense has remained productive throughout the season. The Pirates have scored 336 runs and collected 581 hits while maintaining a .252 batting average. However, the recent results and pitching numbers put additional pressure on the offense to keep pace against one of the most productive teams in baseball.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Prediction
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pick
- Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline
The Dodgers have the advantage in nearly every major category provided. Los Angeles owns the better overall record, stronger road record, superior offensive production, and better pitching numbers. The matchup predictor also favors the Dodgers at 62.7% compared to 37.3% for Pittsburgh. Combined with a recent 12-3 victory over the Pirates, Los Angeles is the preferred side.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Total Pick
- Pick: Take the over if the total is set at 8.5.
I would lean toward the over if the total is set at 8.5 because Los Angeles has scored 12 runs in the most recent meeting and leads this matchup with 357 runs and 91 home runs on the season. Pittsburgh has also produced 336 runs this year. With both teams capable of generating offense and one pitching staff carrying an ERA above 4.00, there is enough evidence to support an over lean.
Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 7 – Pittsburgh Pirates 4
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Wednesday.
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