Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, September 16, 2025
The Miami Marlins (70-80, 74-73-3 O/U) will be taking on the Colorado Rockies (41-109, 65-81-4 O/U) on Tuesday night in the opening game of a three-game National League series for our Marlins vs. Rockies prediction. Both teams were off on Monday ahead of the series. Young right-hander Eury Perez (6-5, 4.67 ERA) is going to be pitching in this game for the Marlins, while the Rockies are sending southpaw Kyle Freeland (4-15, 4.97 ERA) to the hill. Dial in your read with MLB picks for the Miami Marlins at the Colorado Rockies before first pitch.
Marlins Looking to End the Season Strong
The Miami Marlins are doing a respectable job, currently third in the NL East with a 70-80 record. The Marlins are hitting at a respectable level, tied with the Cincinnati Reds for 18th in the majors with a .707 team OPS, while averaging 4.45 runs per game.
The Miami Marlins are coming off a 2-0 home loss on Sunday to the Detroit Tigers and it does not help going 0-for-4 with runners in scoring position. Adam Mazur pitched well in a loss as he allowed a pair of unearned runs in six innings.
Catcher Augustin Ramirez (.20 HR, 12 SB) has been a solid young player who can continue to improve as the season winds down. Young right-hander Eury Perez (6-5, 4.67 ERA) will be taking the mound and is coming off a no-decision against the Washington Nationals where he threw 5.2 innings and gave up three runs on seven hits with zero walks and seven strikeouts.
Injury Report for Miami
- Shortstop Xavier Edwards: Wrist (Questionable)
- Pitcher Valente Bellozo: Triceps (Questionable)
- Pitcher Freddy Tarnok: Ankle (OUT)
- Third baseman Connor Norby: Quad Strain (OUT)
- Left fielder Derek Hill: Hamstring (OUT)
- Pitcher Edward Cabrera: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Tyler Zuber: Lat (OUT)
- Pitcher Anthony Bender: Tibia (OUT)
- Center fielder Dane Myers: Oblique (OUT)
- Pitcher Ryan Gusto: Shoulder (OUT)
- Third baseman Graham Pauley: Oblique (OUT)
- Left fielder Kyle Stowers: Oblique (OUT)
- Pitcher Jesus Tinoco: Forearm (OUT)
- Pitcher Max Meyer: Hip (OUT)
- Left fielder Griffin Conine: Arm (OUT)
- Pitcher Andrew Nardi: Back (OUT)
- Pitcher Braxton Garrett: Elbow (OUT)
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Rockies Looking to Play Well at Home
The Colorado Rockies are looking to end the year on the right foot as they are last in the NL West with a 41-109 record up to this point. The offense is ice cold as they are 27th in baseball with a .238/.295/.388 team slash line while averaging 3.72 runs per game.
The Colorado Rockies are coming off a 9-6 road loss on Sunday to the San Diego Padres and it does not help striking out 13 times. German Marquez struggled as he allowed seven runs (six earned) in 2.1 innings in a losing effort.
Left fielder Jordan Beck (15 HR, .765 OPS) has been hitting well and could step up as a legitimate power hitter in the future. Left-hander Kyle Freeland (4-15, 4.97 ERA) is going to be on the mound and is coming off a loss against the Los Angeles Dodgers, where he allowed four runs (one earned) on nine hits with one walk and five strikeouts in 5.2 innings.
Injury Report for Colorado
- Pitcher Chase Dollander: Knee (OUT)
- Pitcher Luis Peralta: Hip (OUT)
- Shortstop Wander Bernabel: Concussion (OUT)
- Pitcher Dugan Darnell: Hip (OUT)
- Second baseman Thairo Estrada: Hamstring (OUT)
- Pitcher Seth Halvorsen: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Zach Agnos: Hand (OUT)
- Designated hitter Kris Bryant: Lumbar (OUT)
- Pitcher Jeff Criswell: Elbow (OUT)
Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies Pick
Spread Pick for Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies
- Miami Marlins -172 (5 units)
These starting pitchers have been similar over the course of the season, so we need to look deeper than the starting pitching. These bullpens are struggling, but there is still a sizable gap as the Marlins are 21st with a 4.32 bullpen ERA while the Rockies are 29th with a 5.30 reliever ERA right now. These lineups are on completely different levels when looking at how they hit with runners in scoring position, as Miami is seventh with a .773 team OPS in those chances, while Colorado is tied with the Chicago White Sox for 27th with a .681 team OPS with runners in scoring position. All in all, go with the Miami Marlins as the better team to win.
Over/Under Pick for Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies
- Over (4 units)
These starting pitchers are getting rocked when diving into their road/home splits as Eury Perez is 3-3 with a 6.44 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in 43.1 innings (10 road starts) so far while Kyle Freeland is 2-6 with a 5.82 ERA and a .327 opposing batting average in 60.1 innings (13 home starts) up to this point. The pitching in September overall has been miserable as Miami is 22nd with a 4.73 team ERA while Colorado is 30th with a 6.57 team ERA in the month. Go with the over as the better bet to hit here.
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