Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Prediction for Sunday, July 5, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Milwaukee Brewers travel to Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona, for a Sunday afternoon matchup against the Arizona Diamondbacks on July 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 PM ET with coverage on Peacock. Milwaukee enters the game with a 54-32 overall record and an impressive 25-14 road record, while Arizona is 43-44 overall and 26-19 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics gives the Brewers a 44.5 percent chance to win and the Diamondbacks a 55.5 percent chance. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers
Milwaukee is expected to start Brandon Sproat, who is 3-4 with a 5.28 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 75.0 innings. He has allowed 66 hits, struck out 80 batters, walked 34, and surrendered 14 home runs. Arizona is scheduled to counter with Eduardo Rodriguez, who enters with a 7-2 record, a 2.21 ERA, and a 1.18 WHIP across 102.0 innings. Rodriguez has allowed 82 hits, recorded 71 strikeouts, issued 38 walks, and given up nine home runs. Rodriguez enters with advantages in wins, ERA, WHIP, innings pitched, and home runs allowed, while Sproat has recorded more strikeouts.
Milwaukee Continues to Set the Pace
The Brewers come into Sunday’s matchup with a 54-32 overall record and a strong 25-14 record away from home. Milwaukee has won four of its last five games, most recently defeating Arizona 7-4 in 11 innings. Before that victory, the Brewers dropped a game to Cincinnati but that was after picking up three consecutive wins over the Reds.
Milwaukee has posted a .254 team batting average with 443 runs, 742 hits, and 80 home runs. The Brewers own a .338 on-base percentage and a .396 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has been one of the strongest in this matchup, compiling a 3.35 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP, 287 walks, 850 strikeouts, and a .220 opponent batting average.
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Milwaukee’s greatest strength is its complete pitching profile. The Brewers have the lower ERA, lower WHIP, more strikeouts, and the lowest opponent batting average in this matchup. Those numbers have played a significant role in the club building one of the best records among these two teams.
Arizona Looks to Defend Home Field
The Diamondbacks enter Sunday with a 43-44 overall record and a 26-19 mark at Chase Field. Arizona has gone 2-3 over its last five games after falling 7-4 in 11 innings to Milwaukee. Before that loss, the Diamondbacks split four games by defeating San Francisco twice and losing to San Francisco and Tampa Bay.
Arizona is batting .238 with 371 runs, 687 hits, and 78 home runs. The Diamondbacks own a .308 on-base percentage and a .384 slugging percentage. On the mound, they have posted a 4.31 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP, 257 walks, 590 strikeouts, and a .251 opponent batting average.
Arizona’s biggest advantage entering this game is the projected starting pitcher. Eduardo Rodriguez has delivered excellent numbers throughout the season, including a 2.21 ERA and a 7-2 record. If he continues pitching at that level, he gives the Diamondbacks a strong opportunity to compete despite Milwaukee’s overall statistical advantages.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Prediction
Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick
- Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline
Milwaukee is my pick based solely on the information provided. The Brewers own the better overall record, the better road record, the stronger recent form, and they won the most recent meeting between these clubs. Milwaukee also holds clear advantages in team ERA, WHIP, strikeouts, opponent batting average, batting average, runs scored, hits, and on-base percentage. While Arizona has the higher matchup predictor percentage and the stronger individual starting pitcher, Milwaukee’s overall team profile gives the Brewers the edge.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Total Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
I like the under if the total is set at 8.5. Milwaukee owns a 3.35 team ERA, while Arizona’s starter enters with an outstanding 2.21 ERA. Even though Milwaukee’s projected starter has struggled at times, the Brewers’ overall pitching numbers suggest this game could stay on the lower-scoring side.
Final Score Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers 4 – Arizona Diamondbacks 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.
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