Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Picks and Prediction for Tuesday June 23 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/23/2026, 12:40 AM ET
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The Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds meet on Tuesday, June 23, 2026, at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM, and the game will be televised on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Milwaukee enters the matchup with a 46-29 record, while Cincinnati comes in at 37-39. ESPN's Matchup Predictor gives the Brewers a 53.6 percent chance to win compared to 46.4 percent for the Reds. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers Take Center Stage

Milwaukee is expected to start Brandon Sproat in this matchup. The right-hander enters with a 1-4 record, a 5.94 ERA, and a 1.46 WHIP across 63.2 innings. He has allowed 61 hits while striking out 63 batters, walking 32, and surrendering 13 home runs. Cincinnati is expected to counter with Nick Lodolo. The left-hander comes into the game with a 2-2 record, a 6.12 ERA, and a 1.59 WHIP over 42.2 innings. He has allowed 51 hits while recording 32 strikeouts, issuing 17 walks, and allowing eight home runs.

Milwaukee Brings Strong Season Numbers Into Cincinnati

The Brewers enter Tuesday's contest with a 46-29 overall record and a 21-14 record on the road. Milwaukee has gone 2-3 over its last five games. The Brewers recently defeated Atlanta and Cleveland, but they also dropped two games to Atlanta and another contest against Cleveland during that stretch.

Milwaukee has produced a .256 batting average with 397 runs scored, 653 hits, and 68 home runs. The Brewers own a .340 on-base percentage and a .394 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has been one of the strongest units in this matchup, posting a 3.45 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP while holding opponents to a .223 batting average. Milwaukee pitchers have recorded 736 strikeouts and issued 248 walks.

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The biggest strength for Milwaukee is its overall balance. The Brewers lead Cincinnati in batting average, runs scored, hits, on-base percentage, ERA, WHIP, strikeouts, and opponent batting average. Those advantages have helped Milwaukee build one of the better records among the teams involved in this matchup.

Reds Looking to Build on Recent Success

The Reds enter this game with a 37-39 overall record and a 19-19 mark at home. Cincinnati has gone 3-2 over its last five games. The Reds recently won two games against the Yankees and also picked up a victory against the Mets earlier in the stretch. Their losses came against New York Yankees and the Mets.

Cincinnati has posted a .229 batting average with 325 runs scored, 584 hits, and 96 home runs. The Reds own a .311 on-base percentage and a .395 slugging percentage. On the mound, Cincinnati carries a 4.58 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .250. The pitching staff has accumulated 597 strikeouts and issued 345 walks.

A major strength for Cincinnati is its power production. The Reds have hit 96 home runs this season, significantly more than Milwaukee's total of 68. However, Cincinnati's challenge entering this matchup is overcoming the gap in overall pitching performance, as the Brewers hold clear advantages in ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Picks and Prediction

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Pick

  • Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline

Milwaukee enters this matchup with the better overall record, the better road record, and the edge in the matchup predictor. The Brewers also hold advantages across most of the major team statistics, including batting average, runs scored, ERA, WHIP, strikeouts, and opponent batting average. While Cincinnati has been playing competitive baseball recently, Milwaukee's season-long numbers make the Brewers the preferred side.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Total Pick

  • Pick: Take the over if the total is set at 9.0

I would lean toward the over in this matchup. Both starting pitchers enter with ERAs above 5.90, and Cincinnati has hit 96 home runs this season while Milwaukee has scored 397 runs. The pitching numbers provided point toward scoring opportunities for both teams, making the over the more attractive option.

Final Score Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers 6 – Cincinnati Reds 5

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.

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