Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Prediction for Sunday, August 16, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 08/16/2026, 01:05 AM ET

The Milwaukee Brewers visit the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California, on Sunday, August 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 PM ET, with MLB.TV providing television coverage. Milwaukee enters the matchup at 75-48 overall and 34-26 on the road, while Los Angeles is 74-49 overall and 37-24 at home. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released. Before making your selections for Sunday’s matchup, check out our free MLB picks for more baseball predictions and analysis.

Starting Pitchers

Logan Henderson is scheduled to start for Milwaukee and enters at 6-2 with a 2.88 ERA and 0.91 WHIP across 56.1 innings. He has allowed 40 hits and nine home runs while recording 69 strikeouts against only 11 walks. Los Angeles counters with Tarik Skubal, who is 7-6 with a 2.93 ERA and 0.93 WHIP through 107.2 innings. He has surrendered 82 hits and 12 home runs while recording 128 strikeouts against 18 walks. The numbers are remarkably close, with Milwaukee holding slight advantages in ERA and WHIP, while the Los Angeles starter has maintained similarly elite numbers over nearly twice as many innings.

Milwaukee's Pitching Keeps It Dangerous

Milwaukee enters Sunday with the best record in the National League Central at 75-48 and has played well on the road at 34-26. The Brewers have struggled recently, however, going 1-4 across their last five completed games. Their lone victory was a 5-4 road win over Los Angeles, while their four defeats came by scores of 3-1 against the Dodgers and 4-3 in 11 innings, 11-2, and 3-2 against San Diego.

The Brewers are batting .251 with a .336 on-base percentage and .393 slugging percentage. Milwaukee has scored 598 runs on 1,039 hits while producing 111 home runs. Its pitching staff owns an excellent 3.53 ERA and 1.16 WHIP while holding opponents to a .220 batting average. Milwaukee has recorded 1,196 strikeouts while issuing 386 walks.

Milwaukee's biggest strength is its pitching. The Brewers have the better team ERA and substantially more strikeouts than Los Angeles while matching the Dodgers with a 1.16 WHIP. Sunday's scheduled starter strengthens that advantage with a 2.88 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. The concern is recent form and a power deficit, as Milwaukee has hit 47 fewer home runs than Los Angeles this season.

Los Angeles Brings the Stronger Offense

Los Angeles enters Sunday at 74-49 overall and has been strong at Dodger Stadium with a 37-24 home record. The Dodgers have won four of their last five completed games, including Friday's 3-1 victory over Milwaukee. Their other recent victories came by scores of 4-2, 5-4 in 10 innings, and 6-5 against Kansas City. Their lone defeat during this stretch was a 5-4 decision against Milwaukee.

The Dodgers are batting .260 with a .337 on-base percentage and .429 slugging percentage. Los Angeles has scored 613 runs on 1,075 hits while hitting 158 home runs. Its pitching staff owns a 3.69 ERA and 1.16 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .218 batting average. Los Angeles has recorded 1,100 strikeouts against 386 walks.

Los Angeles' primary advantage is its offensive profile. The Dodgers hold the edge in batting average, OBP, slugging percentage, runs, hits, and home runs, with their 158 homers standing out against Milwaukee's 111. The Dodgers also have the better recent record and strong home performance, while Sunday's scheduled starter gives them the pitching quality needed to counter Milwaukee's biggest strength.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Prediction

Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline

Los Angeles is the preferred side in what should be one of Sunday's strongest pitching matchups. Milwaukee's scheduled starter owns marginally better ERA and WHIP numbers, but the Dodgers counter with a starter carrying a 2.93 ERA and 0.93 WHIP across 107.2 innings. Los Angeles also has the stronger offense, a 37-24 home record, and a 4-1 mark over its last five completed games compared with Milwaukee's 1-4 stretch. Those advantages give the Dodgers the slight edge.

Pick: Under 7.5

Take the under if the total is set at 7.5. Sunday's scheduled starters enter with ERAs of 2.88 and 2.93 and WHIPs of 0.91 and 0.93, respectively. Milwaukee also owns a 3.53 team ERA, while Los Angeles carries a 3.69 mark. With both starters demonstrating excellent baserunner prevention and both staffs performing well over the full season, the under is the preferred play at 7.5.

Preview was completed prior to game play on Saturday.

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