Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Thursday, August 27, 2026
The Milwaukee Brewers visit the New York Mets at Citi Field on Thursday, with first pitch set for 7:10 PM ET. Milwaukee is 81-51, first in the NL Central with a 5.5-game lead over Chicago. The Brewers have lost two straight but are 3-2 over their last five. New York is 60-72, fifth in the NL East, 17 games behind Atlanta and 10.5 games out of the final NL Wild Card spot. The Mets are 3-2 over their last five after beating Milwaukee 3-2 in 10 innings Tuesday. Be a winner with our free MLB picks
Milwaukee Brewers Bring Strong Pitching to New York
Milwaukee has dropped consecutive games, but the Brewers still own one of the strongest records in baseball. Before the two losses, Milwaukee beat Atlanta twice and Seattle once, scoring 13 runs across those three wins. For the season, the Brewers rank third in MLB with a .254 batting average and have scored 652 runs. Milwaukee also owns a .337 on-base percentage and .396 slugging percentage.
Jackson Chourio leads Milwaukee with a .276 batting average, while Jake Bauers has supplied much of the power with 23 home runs, 75 RBI and a .382 on-base percentage. Brice Turang has added 16 homers, 75 RBI and 18 stolen bases. Milwaukee’s biggest advantage has been its pitching staff, which ranks second in MLB with a 3.41 ERA. The Brewers also have a 1.17 WHIP and have held opponents to a .220 batting average.
Injuries: Jake Bauers (Day-To-Day), Joel Kuhnel (15-Day IL), JoJo Romero (15-Day IL), Abner Uribe (15-Day IL), Rob Zastryzny (60-Day IL).
New York Mets Look to Build on Series Opener
New York enters Thursday with three wins in its last five games. The Mets opened this series by beating Milwaukee 3-2 in 10 innings after taking two of three results listed against the White Sox and beating San Diego 4-2. New York has scored 549 runs this season while batting .237 with a .307 on-base percentage and .392 slugging percentage.
Carson Benge leads the Mets with a .282 batting average and .342 on-base percentage. Bo Bichette has a team-high 138 hits and 66 RBI, while Juan Soto leads New York with 21 home runs but is currently on the 10-day IL. The Mets rank 12th in MLB pitching with a 4.05 ERA and carry a 1.30 WHIP. New York is 31-35 at Citi Field this season.
Injuries: Juan Soto (10-Day IL), Cionel Perez (15-Day IL), Mark Vientos (10-Day IL), Justin Hagenman (60-Day IL), Devin Williams (15-Day IL).
Pitching Matchup
Milwaukee Brewers – Jacob Misiorowski
Misiorowski enters with a 13-5 record, 1.68 ERA and 0.76 WHIP across 145 innings. The right-hander has allowed only 77 hits and 33 walks while recording 216 strikeouts. Misiorowski has also surrendered just 13 home runs. Those numbers give Milwaukee a major starting-pitching advantage, especially against a Mets lineup missing Soto.
New York Mets – Sean Manaea
Manaea is 4-5 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.31 WHIP through 117 innings. The left-hander has allowed 114 hits, 39 walks and 19 home runs while striking out 117. Manaea has been far more hittable than Misiorowski and has allowed six more home runs despite pitching 28 fewer innings.
Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Game Pick
- Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is the play on Thursday behind a clear advantage on the mound. Misiorowski’s 1.68 ERA and 0.76 WHIP are well ahead of Manaea’s 4.31 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. The Brewers also own the better offense, scoring 103 more runs this season, and Milwaukee’s 3.41 team ERA ranks second in MLB. New York won Tuesday’s opener, but Milwaukee has the stronger statistics entering Thursday.
Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Over/Under Pick
- Under
The Under is the play Thursday because Misiorowski has been dominant across a large workload. He has allowed only 77 hits in 145 innings with 216 strikeouts, while New York ranks 24th in MLB with a .237 batting average. Tuesday’s opener also finished with only five runs after 10 innings. With Milwaukee carrying a 3.41 team ERA and New York missing its leading home run hitter in Soto, another lower-scoring matchup will be the result on Thursday.