Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Tuesday August 25 2026

The Milwaukee Brewers travel to Citi Field in Queens, New York, to face the New York Mets on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, with first pitch scheduled for 7:10 PM ET and coverage available on MLB.TV. Milwaukee enters the matchup at 81-50 overall and 36-26 on the road, while New York is 59-72 overall with a 30-35 record at home. The Brewers own the best record in the National League Central and have won three of their last five games, while the Mets have dropped three of their last five and sit well below .500. Milwaukee also leads the season series 2-1 after taking two of the first three meetings. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Before placing your wagers on Tuesday's matchup, be sure to check out our free MLB picks for more baseball betting predictions and analysis.

Starting Pitchers

Milwaukee is expected to start Kyle Harrison, who enters Tuesday with a 10-3 record, 2.84 ERA and 1.11 WHIP across 98.1 innings. Harrison has allowed 83 hits while recording 122 strikeouts and 26 walks, with 13 home runs surrendered. New York is expected to counter with Zac Thornton, who owns a 3-4 record, 3.04 ERA and 1.15 WHIP through 50.1 innings. Thornton has allowed 44 hits while striking out 36 and walking 14, with six home runs allowed. Both starters have pitched well, but Milwaukee brings the more established workload and substantially stronger strikeout numbers into this matchup.

Brewers Continue to Set the Pace in the NL Central

Milwaukee enters Tuesday at 81-50 and holds a commanding position atop the National League Central. The Brewers have gone 3-2 over their last five games, picking up victories of 4-1, 2-1 and 7-4 while dropping games by scores of 4-2 and 7-5. Their 36-26 road record also shows that Milwaukee has been capable of sustaining its strong play away from home.

The Brewers are batting .254 with 650 runs, 1,123 hits and 120 home runs. Milwaukee owns a .337 on-base percentage and .396 slugging percentage. The home-run total is lower than New York's, but the Brewers have compensated by consistently getting runners on base and generating more overall scoring opportunities. They have scored 104 more runs than the Mets through the supplied season totals.

Pitching has been one of Milwaukee's biggest strengths. The Brewers own a 3.42 team ERA and 1.17 WHIP while holding opponents to a .220 batting average. They have recorded 1,269 strikeouts against 415 walks. Those numbers give Milwaukee a clear advantage in run prevention and baserunner control, and that edge is a major reason the Brewers have built one of the strongest records in baseball.

Mets Need More Offensive Consistency

New York enters Tuesday at 59-72 and has struggled to build sustained momentum. The Mets have gone 2-3 over their last five games, with victories of 10-5 and 4-2 mixed around losses of 2-1, 6-4 and 5-2. They return to Citi Field with a 30-35 home record and will need a stronger offensive showing against one of the league's better pitching staffs.

The Mets are batting .236 with 546 runs, 1,040 hits and 161 home runs. New York owns a .307 on-base percentage and .391 slugging percentage. The Mets have hit 41 more home runs than Milwaukee, but that power has not translated into better overall production. They trail the Brewers by 104 runs and have significantly lower batting-average and on-base-percentage marks.

New York has also been less efficient on the mound. The Mets carry a 4.07 team ERA and 1.30 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .237. They have recorded 1,183 strikeouts and issued 469 walks. Those numbers are respectable in isolation, but they fall well short of Milwaukee's 3.42 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and .220 opponent batting average.

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline

Milwaukee is the preferred side because the Brewers have the stronger overall profile on both sides of the ball. They own the better record, stronger road mark, significantly better run differential indicators, and a major advantage in ERA and WHIP. New York does have more home-run power, but Milwaukee has been far better at consistently reaching base and converting opportunities into runs. The Brewers also bring the more established starting pitcher into this matchup. Take the Milwaukee Brewers on the moneyline.

Pick: Under 8.0

The Under is the preferred total if the number is set around 8.0. Milwaukee owns a 3.42 team ERA and 1.17 WHIP, while both expected starters enter with ERAs close to or below 3.00. Three of Milwaukee's last five games finished with six or fewer combined runs, while New York's most recent game ended 2-1. The Mets' inconsistent offense and Milwaukee's strong run-prevention numbers make a lower-scoring game the more appealing angle. If the total is set at 8.0, take the Under.

This game preview was written prior to the completion of game play on Monday, August 24, 2026.