Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Wednesday August 26, 2026

The Milwaukee Brewers travel to Citi Field in Queens, New York, to face the New York Mets on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET, with coverage available on MLB.TV. Milwaukee enters the matchup at 81-50 overall and 36-26 on the road, while New York is 59-72 overall with a 30-35 record at home.

Milwaukee has won three of its last five games and remains comfortably atop the NL Central, while the Mets have alternated wins and losses recently and sit well below .500. The Brewers also hold a 2-1 edge in the season series entering this set in New York.

At the time of this writing the odds were not released.

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Starting Pitchers

Milwaukee is expected to start Dustin May, who enters Wednesday at 6-8 with a 4.57 ERA and 1.30 WHIP across 124 innings. The right-hander has allowed 119 hits while recording 118 strikeouts and 42 walks, and he has surrendered only nine home runs. The ERA is higher than Milwaukee’s overall team mark, but May has still done a respectable job limiting power and avoiding excessive traffic.

New York counters with Robert Stock, who is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.68 WHIP through 16.2 innings. Stock has allowed 17 hits while striking out 19 and walking 11, with one home run surrendered. The sample is much smaller than May’s, but the elevated ERA and WHIP create a clear concern for the Mets in the early innings.

Brewers Continue to Look Like a Complete Team

Milwaukee enters Wednesday at 81-50 overall and 36-26 away from home. The Brewers have won three of their last five games, defeating Seattle 7-4 and Atlanta by scores of 2-1 and 4-1 before dropping their most recent contest 4-2.

The Brewers are batting .254 with 1,123 hits, 650 runs and 120 home runs. They own a .337 on-base percentage and .396 slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s offense may not rely on overwhelming home-run production, but it consistently creates baserunners and has scored significantly more runs than New York.

The pitching staff has been one of Milwaukee’s biggest strengths. The Brewers own a 3.42 team ERA and 1.17 WHIP while holding opponents to a .220 batting average. That gives them a substantial edge over a Mets staff that has posted a 4.07 ERA and 1.30 WHIP.

Mets Face Another Difficult Matchup

New York enters Wednesday at 59-72 overall and 30-35 at Citi Field. The Mets have gone 2-3 over their last five games, with wins of 10-5 and 4-2 mixed between losses of 2-1, 6-4 and 5-2.

The Mets are batting .236 with 1,040 hits, 546 runs and 161 home runs. They carry a .307 on-base percentage and .391 slugging percentage. New York has hit more home runs than Milwaukee, but the Brewers have still scored 104 more runs and own a much better on-base percentage.

The Mets’ biggest issue is that they are giving Milwaukee too many edges at once. New York has the weaker batting average, OBP, team ERA, WHIP and overall record. Even though the Mets have more power, their inconsistency makes it difficult to trust them against a Milwaukee team that has been one of the most complete clubs in baseball.

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline

Milwaukee is the preferred side because of its massive edge in overall record, stronger pitching staff and favorable starting-pitching matchup. May’s 4.57 ERA is not dominant, but Stock enters with a 5.40 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in limited action, giving the Brewers an opportunity to create early offense. Milwaukee also owns a 3.42 team ERA compared with New York’s 4.07, along with a significantly stronger on-base percentage. Take the Milwaukee Brewers moneyline.

Pick: Under 8.5

Take the under if the total is set at 8.5 or higher. Milwaukee has allowed four runs or fewer in four of its last five games, while three of New York’s last five have finished with six combined runs or fewer. The Brewers’ 3.42 team ERA and 1.17 WHIP give the under a strong foundation, and May has surrendered only nine home runs in 124 innings. Stock creates some risk on the New York side, but Milwaukee’s pitching strength and the Mets’ inconsistent offense make the under the preferred total. The pick is Under 8.5.

This preview was completed on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, before play. Any lineup changes, pitching changes, injuries, scratches, or betting-line movement occurring after that time are not reflected in this analysis.