Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Prediction for July 11, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Milwaukee Brewers will visit the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday, July 11, 2026, at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET, with television coverage available on MLB.TV. Milwaukee enters the matchup with a 59-34 overall record and a 30-16 mark on the road, while Pittsburgh is 47-47 overall and 24-24 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers
Shane Drohan is scheduled to start for Milwaukee against Bubba Chandler of Pittsburgh. Drohan enters with a 4-2 record, a 2.97 ERA, and a 1.24 WHIP through 63.2 innings. He has allowed 59 hits and five home runs while recording 61 strikeouts and issuing 20 walks. Chandler is 3-8 with a 4.82 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP across 89.2 innings. He has surrendered 77 hits and 10 home runs while totaling 79 strikeouts and 52 walks. The supplied numbers give Milwaukee a clear starting-pitching advantage based on record, ERA, WHIP, walks, and home runs allowed.
Milwaukee Continues to Deliver Away From Home
The Brewers are 59-34 overall and have gone 30-16 on the road. Milwaukee has won four of its last five games, including a recent 8-4 victory over St. Louis. The Brewers also won over the same opponent by scores of 10-2, 4-3, and 4-3. Their only loss during the five-game stretch was a 5-1 defeat. Milwaukee has therefore combined productive offensive performances with the ability to win close contests.
Milwaukee is batting .255 with 808 hits, 476 runs, and 86 home runs. The Brewers have recorded a .337 on-base percentage and a .398 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 3.33 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP while issuing 302 walks and collecting 903 strikeouts. Opponents are batting only .217 against Milwaukee. The Brewers have also posted a 21-13 record in day games.
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Milwaukee’s greatest strength is its pitching. The Brewers hold the lower team ERA, the lower WHIP, and the lower opposing batting average in this matchup. Their staff has also recorded 45 more strikeouts than Pittsburgh while issuing 38 fewer walks. Those figures have supported Milwaukee’s strong overall record and could be especially important against a Pirates offense that has produced more runs and home runs this season.
Pittsburgh’s Offense Gives It a Chance at Home
The Pirates enter Saturday with a 47-47 overall record and an even 24-24 mark at PNC Park. Pittsburgh has gone 3-2 over its last five contests. The Pirates recently lost to Atlanta by scores of 10-5 and 3-0 after earning a 12-4 victory over the same opponent. Before that series, Pittsburgh recorded road wins over Washington by scores of 11-5 and 7-1.
Pittsburgh is batting .262 with 857 hits, 492 runs, and 120 home runs. The Pirates own a .340 on-base percentage and a .423 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has a 4.32 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP with 340 walks and 858 strikeouts. Opponents are batting .239 against Pittsburgh. The Pirates have gone 24-17 in day games.
The Pirates’ primary strength is their offensive production. Pittsburgh leads Milwaukee in batting average, hits, runs, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. The Pirates have hit 34 more home runs and scored 16 more runs than the Brewers. Their challenge is that their pitching staff has not matched Milwaukee’s season-long effectiveness, and the starting matchup also favors the visitors based on the supplied statistics.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Prediction
Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pick
- Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline
Milwaukee is the preferred side because of its superior overall record, excellent road performance, recent form, and clear pitching advantages. The Brewers are 30-16 away from home and have won four of their last five games. Their 3.33 team ERA is nearly a full run lower than Pittsburgh’s 4.32 mark, while their 1.16 WHIP is also significantly better than the Pirates’ 1.31. Milwaukee’s scheduled starter owns a 2.97 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP, compared with a 4.82 ERA and 1.44 WHIP for Pittsburgh’s starter. The Pirates have the stronger offensive statistics, but Milwaukee’s pitching and road success make the Brewers the better moneyline selection.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Total Pick
- Take the under if the total is set at 8.5.
I would lean toward the under if the total is set at 8.5. Milwaukee owns a 3.33 team ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and an opposing batting average of .217. The Brewers’ scheduled starter has also allowed only five home runs in 63.2 innings while carrying a 2.97 ERA. Pittsburgh has a productive offense, but it was held scoreless in one of its last two games. Milwaukee has scored four runs or fewer in three of its last five contests, so the supplied pitching and recent scoring numbers support an under play at 8.5.
Final Score Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers 5 – Pittsburgh Pirates 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.
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