Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Prediction for Sunday July 12, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates meet on Sunday, July 12, 2026, at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. First pitch is scheduled for 12:15 p.m. ET, with television coverage on Peacock. Milwaukee enters the matchup with a 59-34 overall record and a 30-16 mark away from home, while Pittsburgh is 47-47 overall and 24-24 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics gives the Brewers a 51.6% chance of winning, compared with 48.4% for the Pirates. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers
Milwaukee is scheduled to start Jacob Misiorowski, who enters with a 10-4 record, a 1.62 ERA, and a 0.76 WHIP across 111 innings. The right-hander has allowed 57 hits and nine home runs while recording 167 strikeouts against 27 walks. Pittsburgh counters with Paul Skenes, who owns a 7-8 record, a 3.58 ERA, and a 1.04 WHIP through 103 innings. He has surrendered 84 hits and 11 home runs while collecting 123 strikeouts and issuing 23 walks. The Brewers have the statistical advantage in the starting matchup, particularly in ERA, WHIP, hits allowed, and strikeouts.
Milwaukee Carries Strong Road Form Into Pittsburgh
Milwaukee enters Sunday with a 59-34 overall record and an impressive 30-16 road mark. The Brewers have won four of their last five games, with all five contests coming away from home. They recently won over St. Louis by scores of 8-4, 10-2, 4-3, and 4-3, while their only loss during that stretch was a 5-1 result. Those recent performances have allowed Milwaukee to maintain one of the strongest records in this matchup while continuing to produce consistently on the road.
The Brewers are batting .255 as a team with 476 runs, 808 hits, and 86 home runs. They carry a .337 on-base percentage and a .398 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, Milwaukee has a 3.33 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP while issuing 302 walks and recording 903 strikeouts. Opposing hitters are batting only .217 against the Brewers. Milwaukee also owns a 21-13 record in day games.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
Milwaukee’s clearest strength is its pitching. The Brewers have the lower team ERA, lower WHIP, lower opponent batting average, and higher strikeout total in this matchup. Their 3.33 ERA is nearly a full run better than Pittsburgh’s 4.32 mark, while their .217 opponent batting average is also considerably lower. That advantage is reinforced by the starting pitching numbers, giving Milwaukee a strong foundation as it tries to continue its successful road stretch.
Pittsburgh Looks to Lean on Its Productive Lineup
Pittsburgh enters the matchup with a 47-47 overall record and an even 24-24 mark at PNC Park. The Pirates have gone 3-2 over their last five games. They recently lost to Atlanta by scores of 10-5 and 3-0, but they also won over Atlanta 12-4 and recorded road victories over Washington by scores of 11-5 and 7-1. Pittsburgh has therefore shown the ability to generate significant offense, although its two most recent games ended in defeat.
The Pirates are batting .262 with 492 runs, 857 hits, and 120 home runs. They have a .340 on-base percentage and a .423 slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff owns a 4.32 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .239. The Pirates have issued 340 walks and recorded 858 strikeouts. They are also 24-17 in day games.
Pittsburgh’s primary strength is its offensive production. The Pirates hold advantages over Milwaukee in batting average, runs, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Their 120 home runs are 34 more than Milwaukee’s total, while their 492 runs are 16 more than the Brewers have scored. The concern is whether that offense can overcome a pitching disadvantage, particularly against a Milwaukee staff that has allowed a much lower opponent batting average.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Prediction
Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pick
- Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline
Milwaukee is the preferred side based on its overall record, road performance, recent form, and pitching numbers. The Brewers are 25 games above .500 and have won 30 of their first 46 road contests. They have also won four of their last five games, while Pittsburgh has dropped its two most recent matchups. The Pirates own the stronger offensive statistics, but Milwaukee’s 3.33 team ERA, 1.16 WHIP, and .217 opponent batting average provide a substantial edge. ESPN Analytics also gives the Brewers a narrow 51.6% advantage, making Milwaukee the stronger overall selection.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Total Pick
- Pick: Take the under if the total is set at 7.5
I would take the under if the total is set at 7.5. Milwaukee’s scheduled starter has a 1.62 ERA and a 0.76 WHIP, while Pittsburgh’s scheduled starter carries a 3.58 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP. The Brewers also own a 3.33 team ERA and have held opponents to a .217 batting average. Although Pittsburgh has the stronger offensive totals, the quality of the starting pitching creates a path toward a lower-scoring contest. Milwaukee has also scored four runs in each of two recent wins, while Pittsburgh was shut out in one of its last two games.
Final Score Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers 4 – Pittsburgh Pirates 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.
Never Tried Picks and Parlays? Now Is Your Chance
- Get your first daily picks package for ONLY $1 using coupon code BUCK
- If the pick loses, we credit your account with 3 Flex Picks
- If the pick wins, we still give you 1 Flex Pick on the house
- Win or lose, you walk away ahead. One dollar. No catch.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
