Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Picks and Prediction for Tuesday August 11 2026

The Milwaukee Brewers visit the San Diego Padres at Petco Park in San Diego, California, on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET with coverage on MLB.TV. Milwaukee enters at 74-44 overall and 33-22 on the road, while San Diego is 62-57 overall and 34-26 at home. The Brewers lead the season series 2-1 after taking two of three from the Padres in Milwaukee in May. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Check out our free MLB picks for more predictions from Tuesday's MLB schedule.

Starting Pitchers

Kyle Harrison is scheduled to start for Milwaukee with an excellent 9-2 record, 2.84 ERA and 1.04 WHIP through 88.2 innings. The left-hander has allowed only 71 hits and 21 walks while striking out 111 and surrendering 10 home runs. San Diego counters with Walker Buehler, who is 6-5 with a 5.07 ERA and 1.46 WHIP through 108.1 innings. Buehler has allowed 113 hits and 45 walks while striking out 95 and giving up 14 home runs. Milwaukee owns a significant starting-pitching advantage based on Harrison's ERA, WHIP and strikeout production.

Brewers Continue to Set the Pace

Milwaukee enters Tuesday with the best record in the NL Central at 74-44 and has performed well away from home with a 33-22 road record. The Brewers have won four of their last five games, including consecutive 4-3 victories over Minnesota. Milwaukee also defeated Pittsburgh 5-2 and 4-2 during this stretch, with its only loss coming in an 8-6 game against the Twins.

The Brewers are batting .253 with a strong .337 on-base percentage and .398 slugging percentage. Milwaukee has scored 585 runs while collecting 1,006 hits and hitting 109 home runs. The pitching staff has been outstanding, posting a 3.47 ERA and 1.16 WHIP while holding opposing hitters to just a .219 batting average.

Milwaukee's biggest strength is its balance. The Brewers have the superior offense in batting average, on-base percentage and runs scored, while their pitching staff owns sizable advantages over San Diego in ERA, WHIP and opponent batting average. Harrison strengthens that advantage further with his 2.84 ERA and 1.04 WHIP.

Padres Bring Momentum Into Petco Park

San Diego enters at 62-57 overall and has played winning baseball at Petco Park with a 34-26 home record. The Padres have won three of their last five games, including consecutive victories over Houston. San Diego defeated the Astros 7-2 on Sunday after earning a 3-2 win Saturday, and the Padres also recorded a 5-1 road victory over Arizona during this five-game stretch.

The Padres are batting .237 with a .313 on-base percentage and .385 slugging percentage. San Diego has scored 504 runs while collecting 927 hits and hitting 128 home runs. The Padres own a 4.16 ERA and 1.32 WHIP while opponents are batting .246.

San Diego's home record and recent form make the Padres dangerous, but the starting-pitching matchup is difficult to overlook. Buehler's 5.07 ERA and 1.46 WHIP indicate frequent traffic on the bases, while Milwaukee has scored 81 more runs than San Diego this season. The Padres have greater home-run production, but they will need Buehler to outperform his season numbers to keep Milwaukee's offense under control.

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Picks and Prediction

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline

Milwaukee is the preferred side behind the substantial starting-pitching advantage. Harrison enters at 9-2 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.04 WHIP, compared with Buehler's 5.07 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. The Brewers also own the better overall record, have won four of their last five and are 33-22 on the road. San Diego has been solid at Petco Park, but Milwaukee holds advantages in run production, batting average, on-base percentage, ERA and WHIP. With Harrison giving the Brewers another clear edge on the mound, take the Milwaukee Brewers on the moneyline.

Total Pick: Under 8.5

The Under 8.5 is the preferred total with Harrison positioned to limit a San Diego lineup averaging just over four runs per game. The Milwaukee left-hander has allowed only 71 hits through 88.2 innings while producing a 2.84 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 111 strikeouts. The Brewers' pitching staff has also held opponents to a .219 batting average, while San Diego is batting only .237 as a team. Buehler's 5.07 ERA creates some risk, but four of Milwaukee's last five games and three of San Diego's last four have finished with seven combined runs or fewer. Take the Under 8.5 if that number is available.

This game preview was completed prior to play on Monday, August 10, 2026.