Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Game 1 Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, July 7, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals open Game 1 of their doubleheader on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15 PM ET, with coverage on ESPN Unlmtd and MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks before making your selections.
Starting Pitchers Set the Tone in St. Louis
Milwaukee is scheduled to start Jacob Misiorowski, while St. Louis is expected to counter with Michael McGreevy. Misiorowski enters with a 9-4 record, a 1.47 ERA, a 0.78 WHIP, 104.0 innings pitched, 54 hits allowed, 156 strikeouts, 27 walks, and 7 home runs allowed. McGreevy comes in at 3-7 with a 3.12 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP, 95.1 innings pitched, 84 hits allowed, 60 strikeouts, 22 walks, and 13 home runs allowed. Based on the provided numbers, Milwaukee has the stronger starting pitching profile entering the opener, especially when comparing ERA, WHIP, hits allowed, and strikeout production.
Milwaukee Brings a Strong Road Profile Into Game 1
The Brewers enter this matchup with a 55-33 overall record and a 26-15 mark away from home. Milwaukee has won three of its last five games, recently winning over Arizona twice and Cincinnati once, while also recently losing to Arizona and Cincinnati during that stretch. The Brewers have continued to show consistency overall, and their road record gives them a solid base entering the first game of this doubleheader.
Milwaukee is batting .255 with 449 runs, 761 hits, 83 home runs, a .337 on-base percentage, and a .398 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Brewers have a 3.35 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, 295 walks, 865 strikeouts, and a .219 opponent batting average. They are also 20-13 in day games based on the provided data.
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The biggest strength for Milwaukee is clearly its pitching profile. The Brewers have the lower team ERA, lower WHIP, more strikeouts, and much better opponent batting average in this matchup. Their offense has also produced more runs than St. Louis, but the pitching numbers are what stand out most heading into Game 1.
St. Louis Looks to Answer at Home
The Cardinals come into Tuesday afternoon with a 47-40 overall record and a 23-21 record at home. St. Louis has also won three of its last five games, recently winning over Chicago twice and Atlanta once, while recently losing to Chicago and Atlanta as well. The Cardinals have shown they can put together strong offensive results, including one especially productive recent win, but they now return home for a tough doubleheader test.
St. Louis is batting .248 with 403 runs, 725 hits, 99 home runs, a .325 on-base percentage, and a .397 slugging percentage. The Cardinals’ pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, 290 walks, 654 strikeouts, and a .252 opponent batting average. St. Louis is also 16-19 in day games.
The clearest strength for St. Louis is its power production. The Cardinals have hit 99 home runs compared with Milwaukee’s 83, which gives them a path to changing the game quickly. However, the larger concern is on the pitching side, where their ERA, WHIP, strikeout total, and opponent batting average all trail Milwaukee’s marks.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Picks and Prediction
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick
- Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline
Milwaukee is the pick in Game 1 because the Brewers hold the stronger overall record, the better road record compared with St. Louis’ home mark, and the better team pitching numbers. The matchup predictor also gives Milwaukee a 61.5% chance, compared with 38.5% for St. Louis. With a lower ERA, lower WHIP, higher strikeout total, and stronger opponent batting average allowed, the Brewers have enough statistical advantages to back them straight up.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Total Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
I would take the under if the total is set at 8.5. Milwaukee’s starting pitching numbers are excellent, and the Brewers also bring a 3.35 team ERA and 1.18 WHIP into this matchup. St. Louis has power, but Milwaukee’s pitching profile is the strongest unit in the game based on the provided data. With Game 1 starting in the afternoon and both teams sending capable starters to the mound, I like a more controlled scoring pace.
Final Score Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers 4 – St. Louis Cardinals 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.
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