Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Prediction for Friday August 7 2026

The Minnesota Twins open a three-game interleague series against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on Friday, August 7. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET, with coverage available on MLB.TV, Brewers.TV and Twins.TV. Minnesota enters the matchup at 56-59 overall and 26-32 on the road, while Milwaukee is 71-43 overall and 38-21 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Bettors looking for additional Friday baseball predictions can visit our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers

Connor Prielipp is projected to start for Minnesota against Milwaukee’s Shane Drohan, although the Twins had not officially confirmed their pitcher at the time of this preview. Prielipp is 3-5 with a 4.75 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP through 77.2 innings. The left-hander has allowed 72 hits and nine home runs while recording 81 strikeouts against 30 walks. Drohan is 6-4 with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP across 88 innings. He has surrendered 79 hits and seven home runs while collecting 89 strikeouts against 24 walks. Bettors should confirm that Prielipp receives the assignment before placing a wager.

Twins Try to End a Four-Game Losing Streak

Minnesota has gone 1-4 over its last five completed games and carries a four-game losing streak into Milwaukee. The Twins defeated Seattle 5-3 before losing the final two games of that series by scores of 4-3 and 7-6. Minnesota then opened its series in Kansas City with an 8-2 defeat before losing 2-1 on Wednesday. The Twins scored only 14 runs while allowing 21 during those five games.

The Twins are batting .243 with 535 runs, 940 hits and 136 home runs this season. Minnesota owns a .316 on-base percentage and a .405 slugging percentage. Its pitching staff has compiled a 4.63 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .252. Twins pitchers have recorded 942 strikeouts while issuing 421 walks.

Minnesota’s power production gives it an opportunity to challenge Milwaukee. The Twins have hit 32 more home runs than the Brewers and own the higher slugging percentage. However, that power has not produced consistent offense recently. Minnesota scored three runs or fewer in four consecutive games and managed only three runs across the first two games of its Kansas City series.

The projected starting matchup also presents a concern. Prielipp has a respectable strikeout rate, but he owns a 4.75 ERA and has allowed 102 combined hits and walks through 77.2 innings. The Twins need him to limit early traffic because Milwaukee has repeatedly shown an ability to manufacture runs without depending heavily on home-run production.

Brewers Continue to Set the Pace in the National League

Milwaukee has gone 3-2 over its last five completed games and enters Friday with the best record in baseball. The Brewers recently recorded consecutive 4-2 victories over Pittsburgh after losing the series opener 4-3. Milwaukee previously split its final two games against the Angels, earning a 3-1 victory before suffering a 3-0 defeat. The Brewers scored 14 runs and allowed only 12 across those five contests.

Milwaukee is batting .253 with 566 runs, 974 hits and 104 home runs. The Brewers have produced a .336 on-base percentage and a .397 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has been outstanding, carrying a 3.45 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP and a .218 opponent batting average. Milwaukee pitchers have accumulated 1,119 strikeouts against 356 walks.

The Brewers’ greatest advantage is their ability to control the strike zone on both sides of the game. Milwaukee has drawn enough walks to maintain a strong on-base percentage despite ranking behind Minnesota in home runs and slugging. Its pitchers have issued 65 fewer walks than the Twins while recording 177 additional strikeouts.

Drohan gives Milwaukee another meaningful advantage. His 3.48 ERA is more than a full run lower than Prielipp’s mark, and he has allowed fewer walks and home runs despite working more innings. Milwaukee is also 38-21 at American Family Field, while Minnesota has fallen six games below .500 on the road.

Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Prediction

• Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

I am taking Milwaukee on the run line if Drohan and Prielipp are confirmed. The Brewers possess the better overall record, a strong 38-21 home mark and significant season-long advantages in pitching. Milwaukee’s 3.45 ERA and 1.16 WHIP are substantially better than Minnesota’s 4.63 ERA and 1.38 WHIP.

The Twins have lost four consecutive games and scored three runs or fewer in each defeat. That limited production creates a difficult matchup against a Milwaukee staff holding opponents to a .218 batting average. The Brewers have also reached base at a .336 rate, which should place steady pressure on Prielipp and the Minnesota bullpen.

Milwaukee’s moneyline will likely carry a considerable price, making the run line the more attractive option. The Brewers have won 71 of their first 114 games and own the pitching depth needed to protect a multi-run advantage. I expect Milwaukee to create separation during the middle innings.

• Pick: Under 8.5

I prefer the under if the total is set at 8.5 runs. Milwaukee’s last five completed games all finished with seven or fewer combined runs. The Brewers have allowed only 12 total runs during that stretch, while Minnesota has scored three runs or fewer in four consecutive contests.

Drohan has allowed only seven home runs through 88 innings and owns a 1.17 WHIP. Those numbers give him a favorable opportunity to limit a Twins offense that has struggled to string together productive innings. Milwaukee should generate enough offense to win, but its recent results have demonstrated that it does not need a large scoring total.

Prielipp’s 4.75 ERA creates some risk, particularly against a Brewers lineup carrying a .336 on-base percentage. Nevertheless, Milwaukee’s pitching and Minnesota’s recent offensive form provide sufficient support for the under. I would play under 8.5, consider under nine an even stronger wager and pass if the market drops to 7.5.

Projected Final Score: Milwaukee Brewers 5, Minnesota Twins 2

This preview was written prior to game play on Thursday.