Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Prediction for Sunday August 9 2026
The Minnesota Twins will face the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday, August 9, 2026, at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET, with MLB.TV providing coverage. Minnesota enters the weekend at 58-59 overall and 28-32 on the road, while Milwaukee is 72-44 overall and 39-22 at home. The Twins won Friday's series opener 8-6, while Saturday's game was not completed when this preview was written.
The Brewers are listed as a -247 moneyline favorite, while Minnesota is +200. The total is set at 7.5 runs, with the over at -105 and the under at -115. Baseball bettors should also check out our free MLB picks for more MLB predictions throughout the season.
Starting Pitchers
Minnesota will send Connor Prielipp to the mound against Milwaukee's Jacob Misiorowski. Prielipp enters with a 3-5 record, 4.75 ERA and 1.31 WHIP across 77.2 innings. The left-hander has allowed 72 hits and nine home runs while recording 81 strikeouts against 30 walks. Misiorowski has been dominant for Milwaukee, entering at 11-5 with a 1.63 ERA and 0.73 WHIP through 127.0 innings. The right-hander has allowed only 64 hits and 11 home runs while striking out 195 and walking 29.
Minnesota Looks to Keep Its Road Momentum Going
The Twins enter Sunday's matchup at 58-59 overall and 28-32 on the road. Minnesota is 2-3 over its last five completed games, but those two victories have come consecutively. The Twins defeated Milwaukee 8-6 Friday after beating Kansas City 4-3. Before those wins, Minnesota lost to Kansas City by scores of 2-1 and 8-2 after falling 7-6 at Seattle.
Minnesota is batting .244 this season with 547 runs, 961 hits and 139 home runs. The Twins own a .318 on-base percentage and .407 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has been less reliable, producing a 4.60 ERA and 1.38 WHIP while opponents are batting .251. Minnesota pitchers have recorded 955 strikeouts while issuing 427 walks.
The Twins actually hold a noticeable power advantage over Milwaukee, hitting 139 home runs compared with 107 for the Brewers. Minnesota also has the slightly better slugging percentage. The challenge is turning that power into production against Misiorowski, whose ability to prevent both hits and baserunners has made him extremely difficult to attack this season.
Milwaukee Has a Huge Starting Pitching Advantage
The Brewers enter Sunday's series finale with a 72-44 overall record and 39-22 mark at American Family Field. Milwaukee is 3-2 over its last five completed games, although Friday's 8-6 loss to Minnesota ended a three-game winning streak. The Brewers swept their previous three games against Pittsburgh by scores of 5-2, 4-2 and 4-2 after losing the series opener 4-3.
Milwaukee is batting .253 with 577 runs and 990 hits this season. The Brewers have hit 107 home runs while producing a .336 on-base percentage and .398 slugging percentage. Their pitching has been a major strength, with Milwaukee posting a 3.48 ERA and 1.16 WHIP while holding opposing hitters to just a .220 batting average. Brewers pitchers have recorded 1,135 strikeouts against 364 walks.
The pitching comparison is where Milwaukee separates itself. The Brewers have a substantially lower team ERA and WHIP than Minnesota, and Misiorowski strengthens that advantage considerably. His 0.73 WHIP is exceptional, while 195 strikeouts in 127 innings give Minnesota very little room for error. Milwaukee also owns the better batting average and on-base percentage, providing the Brewers with more ways to manufacture runs even though Minnesota has hit more home runs.
Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Prediction
- Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -247
The Milwaukee Brewers are the pick to win Sunday's game, although the -247 moneyline is expensive.
Minnesota showed Friday that it can compete with Milwaukee, scoring eight runs in the series opener. However, Sunday's pitching matchup is dramatically different because Misiorowski gives the Brewers one of the strongest statistical advantages on the slate.
Misiorowski enters with a 1.63 ERA and 0.73 WHIP compared with Prielipp at 4.75 and 1.31. He has also struck out 195 hitters while allowing only 64 hits in 127 innings. That combination makes it difficult to expect Minnesota's offense to duplicate Friday's production.
Milwaukee also owns the better overall record, the stronger home record and substantial advantages in team pitching. ESPN Analytics gives the Brewers a 76.2% chance of winning, which supports Milwaukee as the side despite the expensive price.
Take the Milwaukee Brewers -247.
Pick: Under 7.5
- The under 7.5 at -115 is the preferred total.
Misiorowski is the primary reason to play the lower-scoring outcome. His 1.63 ERA and 0.73 WHIP suggest Minnesota could have difficulty creating sustained scoring opportunities, while his strikeout numbers give him the ability to escape trouble without putting the ball in play.
Prielipp is clearly the weaker starter, but his 1.31 WHIP is more respectable than his 4.75 ERA. Milwaukee also has only 107 home runs this season and carries a lower slugging percentage than Minnesota, so the Brewers have not depended on overwhelming power to score their runs.
Friday produced 14 runs, but Sunday's starting pitching matchup is significantly more favorable to a lower-scoring game. If Misiorowski delivers another performance close to his season averages, Minnesota may struggle to contribute enough runs to push this game over the number.
Take Under 7.5 at -115.
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers 5, Minnesota Twins 2
This preview was written prior to game play on Saturday.