Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Picks and Prediction for Saturday, July 4, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Minnesota Twins visit the New York Yankees on Saturday at 1:35 PM ET at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. Minnesota enters at 42-46 and sits third in the AL Central, while New York is 48-38 and second in the AL East despite a seven-game losing streak. The Twins have won three of their last five games, while the Yankees are looking to halt their recent slide after being swept by Detroit. With New York trying to regain momentum before the All-Star break, this series carries added importance. Build your bankroll with our free MLB picks.
Minnesota Twins Looking to Build on Recent Success
Minnesota's offense has been productive, batting .246 with 429 runs, 733 hits, and 110 home runs. Byron Buxton has been the club's biggest threat, hitting .268 with 25 home runs despite entering this game listed as day-to-day. Josh Bell leads the team with 56 RBI, Brooks Lee has added 14 home runs, Trevor Larnach is batting .291 with a .381 on-base percentage, and Ryan Jeffers has provided a spark when healthy. The Twins rank 11th in MLB in batting average and have enough power throughout the lineup to challenge quality pitching.
The concern has been on the mound. Minnesota owns a 4.82 ERA and 1.40 WHIP, ranking near the bottom of the league in team pitching. Opponents are batting .255 against the Twins, and consistency has been difficult to find outside of a handful of starters. Zebby Matthews will be asked to keep the game close against one of baseball's strongest pitching staffs.
Injuries: Byron Buxton (Day-to-Day), Ryan Jeffers (10-Day IL), Garrett Acton (60-Day IL), Bailey Ober (15-Day IL), Cole Sands (15-Day IL).
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New York Yankees Trying to End Their Slide
The Yankees have dropped seven straight games, but their pitching remains among the best in baseball. New York leads MLB with a 3.36 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP while holding opponents to a .227 batting average. Carlos Rodón has been outstanding, posting a 3.30 ERA with 52 strikeouts in 46.1 innings while allowing only three home runs. His ability to miss bats gives New York a clear advantage entering this matchup.
Offensively, the Yankees are led by Ben Rice, who is hitting .269 with 23 home runs and 54 RBI. Aaron Judge has added 17 home runs but is on the injured list, while Paul Goldschmidt is batting .278 with 14 home runs. Cody Bellinger has reached base consistently with a .352 on-base percentage, giving New York several dangerous hitters capable of supporting Rodón with enough run production.
Injuries: Aaron Judge (10-Day IL), Ryan McMahon (10-Day IL), Spencer Jones (Day-to-Day), Trent Grisham (10-Day IL), Giancarlo Stanton (10-Day IL), Max Fried (15-Day IL).
Pitching Matchup
Minnesota Twins – Zebby Matthews
Matthews is 4-5 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP across 56.1 innings. He has allowed 52 hits while striking out 46 batters and issuing only 12 walks.
New York Yankees – Carlos Rodón
Rodón is 4-2 with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 46.1 innings. He has given up just 32 hits and three home runs while recording 52 strikeouts.
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins Game Pick
- New York Yankees
Despite their losing streak, the Yankees remain the better overall team and have a significant edge on the mound. Rodón has pitched well all season, and New York's pitching staff has consistently limited opposing offenses. Minnesota has enough hitters to stay competitive, but the Twins' pitching has been unreliable throughout the year. Backing the Yankees to stop their skid is the play here.
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins Over/Under Pick
- Under
Rodón gives New York a strong chance to control the game deep into the late innings, and the Yankees' pitching staff owns the best ERA in baseball. Matthews has also limited baserunners with a solid WHIP, which could help keep scoring down early. While both teams feature power hitters, this matchup favors the pitchers, making the under the best play.
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