Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction for Sunday July 5 2026
Use Code SSWC The Minnesota Twins head to Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York, for a Sunday afternoon matchup against the New York Yankees on July 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 PM ET with coverage on Peacock/NBCSN. Minnesota enters the game at 42-47 overall and 20-24 on the road, while New York is 49-38 overall and 23-18 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics gives the Twins a 44.2 percent chance to win, while the Yankees are listed at 55.8 percent. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers Ready for the Spotlight
Minnesota is expected to start Joe Ryan, who is 5-5 with a 3.61 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 97.1 innings. He has allowed 83 hits, struck out 113 batters, walked 22, and surrendered 10 home runs. New York will counter with Ryan Weathers, who enters with a 3-6 record, a 4.08 ERA, and a 1.21 WHIP across 88.1 innings. He has given up 82 hits, recorded 98 strikeouts, issued 25 walks, and allowed 16 home runs. Ryan carries the lower ERA and WHIP while also posting more strikeouts in more innings pitched.
Minnesota Aims to Bounce Back on the Road
The Twins enter Sunday’s contest with a 42-47 record and have gone 20-24 away from home this season. Minnesota recently lost 5-2 to the Yankees after winning three of its previous four games. During that stretch, the Twins earned victories over Houston twice and Colorado while dropping one game to Houston.
Minnesota has produced a .246 batting average with 431 runs scored and 739 hits. The Twins have hit 111 home runs while posting a .320 on-base percentage and a .412 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 4.83 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP, 322 walks, 726 strikeouts, and a .255 opponent batting average.
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The Twins’ biggest statistical strength is their offense. Minnesota has scored more runs, collected more hits, and owns a higher batting average than New York. That offensive production gives the Twins an opportunity to remain competitive even against one of the stronger pitching staffs in this matchup.
New York Looks to Continue Its Home Success
The Yankees come into this game with a 49-38 overall record and a 23-18 mark at Yankee Stadium. New York most recently defeated Minnesota 5-2, snapping a four-game losing streak. Prior to that victory, the Yankees dropped consecutive games against Detroit before also losing two close contests against Boston and Detroit.
New York enters the game batting .236 with 422 runs, 679 hits, and 126 home runs. The Yankees own a .318 on-base percentage and a .421 slugging percentage. On the mound, they have been outstanding with a 3.34 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, 759 strikeouts, 263 walks, and a .226 opponent batting average.
The biggest edge for New York is its pitching. The Yankees lead this matchup with the lower ERA, lower WHIP, fewer walks allowed, more strikeouts, and the lower opponent batting average. Those numbers have helped compensate for an offense that has scored fewer runs than Minnesota.
Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction
Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Pick
- Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline
The Yankees are my selection based strictly on the supplied information. New York owns the better overall record, the stronger home record, the higher matchup predictor percentage, and the superior team pitching statistics. The Yankees also won the most recent meeting between these clubs, making them the stronger side entering Sunday’s game.
Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Total Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
I like the under if the total is set at 8.5. Minnesota’s projected starter owns a 3.61 ERA with an excellent 1.08 WHIP, while New York’s team pitching numbers include a 3.34 ERA and a .226 opponent batting average. Those figures suggest this game could feature solid pitching from both sides.
Final Score Prediction: New York Yankees 5 – Minnesota Twins 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.
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