New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Prediction for Wednesday August 12 2026

The New York Mets will face the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday night at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 PM ET, with MLB.TV providing coverage. New York enters the matchup at 53-67 overall and 28-33 on the road, while Atlanta is 71-48 overall and an impressive 39-21 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Bettors looking for more baseball analysis can also check out free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers

New York is expected to start Zac Thornton, who enters at 3-2 with a 2.52 ERA and 1.07 WHIP across 39.1 innings. Thornton has allowed 30 hits and only three home runs while recording 27 strikeouts against 12 walks. Atlanta is expected to counter with Tyler Mahle, who comes in at 3-9 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.36 WHIP through 100.2 innings. Mahle has allowed 98 hits and 14 home runs while striking out 98 and walking 39.

Mets Enter on a Strong Run

New York comes into Wednesday at 53-67 overall but has played considerably better recently. The Mets have won four of their last five completed games, including an 8-5 victory at Atlanta in the series opener. They also recorded wins of 11-1, 6-4 and 13-6 during this stretch, with their only defeat coming in a 9-0 shutout. New York is 28-33 away from home.

The Mets are batting .236 with 507 runs, 955 hits and 145 home runs this season. They own a .307 on-base percentage and .389 slugging percentage. The overall offensive numbers remain below Atlanta's, but New York's recent scoring has been significantly better, with 38 runs across its four victories in the last five games.

Pitching has been inconsistent over the full season. New York carries a 4.11 team ERA and 1.31 WHIP while opponents are batting .239. However, the starting matchup gives the Mets an opportunity to remain competitive against the stronger overall team.

Braves Look to Protect Their Home Field

Atlanta enters Wednesday at 71-48 overall and continues to lead the NL East. The Braves have gone 2-3 across their last five completed games, including Monday's 8-5 loss to New York. Their other recent defeats were close games, while their two victories came by scores of 2-1 and 11-3.

The Braves are batting .249 with 581 runs, 1,006 hits and 159 home runs while producing a .314 on-base percentage and .418 slugging percentage. Atlanta holds advantages over New York in every major offensive category provided, including batting average, runs, hits, home runs, OBP and slugging percentage.

Atlanta also has the better team pitching profile with a 3.64 ERA and 1.24 WHIP while holding opponents to a .229 batting average. The Braves' 39-21 home record is another significant advantage, especially against a New York club that remains well below .500 overall.

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Prediction

Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline

New York has the better starting-pitcher numbers and enters with four wins in its last five, but Atlanta remains the stronger choice based on the complete team profile. The Braves are 39-21 at Truist Park and own clear advantages in offensive production, team ERA, WHIP and opponent batting average. New York's recent surge makes this competitive, but take Atlanta on the moneyline.

Pick: Over 8.5

New York has shown considerably more offensive life recently, scoring at least six runs in four of its last five completed games. Atlanta has the stronger season-long offense, while its expected starter enters with a 4.83 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Monday's series opener also produced 13 combined runs. Take the over if the total is set at 8.5.

This game was completed prior to play on Tuesday.