New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction for Sunday, July 19, 2026
Use Code SSWC The New York Mets visit the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on Sunday, July 19, 2026. The game is scheduled to begin at 1:35 p.m. ET and will be shown on MLB.TV. New York enters the contest with a 41-57 overall record and a 20-29 road mark, while Philadelphia is 54-44 overall and 25-22 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Before placing any wagers on Sunday’s games, be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers for New York and Philadelphia
Nolan McLean is the probable starter for New York, while Alan Rangel is scheduled to take the mound for Philadelphia. McLean is 6-6 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 107.1 innings. He has allowed 81 hits and 10 home runs while recording 125 strikeouts against 39 walks. Rangel enters at 0-2 with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP through 19.1 innings. He has surrendered 18 hits and three home runs, producing 22 strikeouts against nine walks. New York’s starter holds the lower ERA and WHIP while bringing a much larger body of work into the matchup.
New York Tries to Build on Its Latest Road Win
The Mets come into Sunday with a 41-57 overall record and a 20-29 record away from home. New York has won two of its last five games, including a recent 4-1 victory over Philadelphia and a 7-3 win over Kansas City. The Mets recently lost three consecutive games to Boston by scores of 3-2 in 10 innings, 4-0, and 6-2. Four of New York’s five most recent games finished with seven or fewer combined runs.
New York is batting .233 with 768 hits, 402 runs, and 115 home runs. The Mets have posted a .303 on-base percentage and a .382 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 4.24 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP, with opposing batters hitting .237. New York pitchers have issued 352 walks and recorded 894 strikeouts. The Mets are 19-22 during day games.
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One weakness for New York is its limited offensive production. The Mets trail Philadelphia in runs, hits, home runs, and slugging percentage. They have also been held to two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. However, their pitching held Philadelphia to one run in the recent meeting, and the Mets have the lower staff WHIP and opposing batting average in the season statistics provided.
Philadelphia Looks to Protect Its Winning Record
The Phillies enter the matchup with a 54-44 overall record and a 25-22 record at Citizens Bank Park. Philadelphia has won three of its last five games, recently earning victories of 5-0 and 4-2 over Detroit along with a 1-0 win over Cincinnati. The Phillies recently lost 4-1 to New York and 10-2 to Detroit. Four of Philadelphia’s last five contests ended with seven or fewer combined runs.
Philadelphia has recorded a .235 batting average with 774 hits, 425 runs, and 125 home runs. The Phillies own a .302 on-base percentage and a .397 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has produced a 4.23 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .255. Philadelphia has issued 286 walks and collected 957 strikeouts. The Phillies hold a 16-18 record in day games.
Philadelphia’s clearest strength is its ability to record strikeouts while limiting walks. The Phillies have 957 strikeouts, which is 63 more than New York, and have issued 66 fewer walks. Philadelphia also holds advantages in overall record, home runs, runs scored, and slugging percentage. The concern is that the Phillies have scored one run or fewer in three of their last five games, including the recent loss to the Mets.
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick
- Pick: New York Mets Moneyline
I am taking New York on the moneyline despite Philadelphia owning the stronger overall record and better recent five-game mark. The Mets recently earned a 4-1 road win in this matchup, and their scheduled starter has a 3.52 ERA and 1.12 WHIP over 107.1 innings. Philadelphia’s scheduled starter has a 4.19 ERA and 1.40 WHIP through 19.1 innings. New York also owns the slightly better team WHIP and opposing batting average. Those pitching advantages provide enough support for the road side.
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Total Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
Take the under if the total is set at 8.5. I expect the scoring to remain controlled because four of each team’s last five games have finished with seven or fewer combined runs. New York has scored two runs or fewer in four of its last five contests, while Philadelphia has been limited to one run or fewer in three of its last five. The recent meeting ended 4-1, and the probable starters enter with ERAs of 3.52 and 4.19. An 8.5-run number offers enough room to support the under.
Final Score Prediction: New York Mets 4 – Philadelphia Phillies 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.
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