New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, September 9, 2025
In the second game of a four-game National League East series, the New York Mets are taking on the Philadelphia Phillies inside Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday evening in our Mets vs. Phillies prediction. This article is being written ahead of Monday’s game. The Mets are second in the NL East with a 76-67 record and are sending left-hander Sean Manaea to the mound. The Phillies are first in the NL East with an 83-60 record and have southpaw Ranger Suarez getting the ball. From splits to bullpens, MLB predictions for the New York Mets vs the Philadelphia Phillies that cut through the noise.
Mets Looking to Close NL East Gap
The New York Mets are looking to recover after their 3-2 road loss against the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday. The lineup was held to just 3-for-30 with a pair of walks and 12 strikeouts on the day as Brett Baty and Juan Soto each hit a home run. New York went 0-for-1 with runners in scoring position and stranded three men on base. Brandon Sproat pitched well despite recording the loss in his MLB debut as he allowed three runs in six innings.
The Mets are sending southpaw Sean Manaea to pitch and he is struggling as in 10 games (nine starts), he is 1-2 in 45.0 innings with a 5.60 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. He has been giving up a good amount of hits as he has a .261 batting average against so far this year. Manaea faced the Phillies once earlier this season as he did not factor into the decision as he pitched 4.2 innings and allowed two runs on six hits with zero walks and eight strikeouts.
Injury Report for New York
- Center fielder Tyrone Taylor: Hamstring (OUT)
- Pitcher Frankie Montas Jr: Elbow (OUT)
- Left fielder Jesse Winker: Back (OUT)
- Pitcher Max Kranick: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Dedniel Nunez: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Tylor Megill: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Griffin Canning: Achilles (OUT)
- Center fielder Jose Siri: Shin (OUT)
- Pitcher Danny Young: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher AJ Minter: Lat (OUT)
- Pitcher Christian Scott: Elbow (OUT)
- Third baseman Nick Madrigal: Shoulder (OUT)
- Pitcher Drew Smith: Elbow (OUT)
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Phillies Looking to Continue Creating Separation in NL East
The Philadelphia Phillies are looking to bounce back after Sunday’s 5-4 road loss to the Miami Marlins in their most recent game. The Phillies were able to go 7-for-34 with five walks and seven strikeouts at the plate. Philly finished 2-for-12 with runners in scoring position while leaving eight men on base. Taijuan Walker struggled in the loss as he allowed four runs in six innings of work.
Left-hander Ranger Suarez is going to be taking the mound for the Phillies in this game and has been pitching well as he is 11-6 with a 2.89 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in 137.0 innings over 22 starts. He has been doing a great job in terms of limiting the amount of homers hit as he has allowed 10 this year after giving up 14 in 150.2 innings in 2024. Suarez faced the Mets three times last season as he went 2-0 in 15.2 innings and allowed six runs (four earned) on 17 hits with two hit by pitches, six walks, and 13 strikeouts.
Injury Report for Philadelphia
- Shortstop Trea Turner: Hamstring (Questionable)
- Pitcher Daniel Robert: Forearm (OUT)
- Pitcher Zack Wheeler: Blood Clot (OUT)
- Pitcher Jordan Romano: Finger (OUT)
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick
Spread Pick for New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- New York Mets ML (4 units)
Both lineups have played in six games in September and there is a small difference as New York is averaging 5.67 runs per game while Philadelphia is scoring 5.33 runs per game in the calendar month. These bullpens are on two different levels over the course of the season as well with the Mets are 13th with a 3.97 reliever ERA while the Phillies are 21st with a 4.31 bullpen ERA right now. New York won eight of the previous 10 games against Philadelphia so go with the New York Mets to secure the victory.
Over/Under Pick for New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Over (4 units)
Since the All-Star break, these teams are not pitching too well as New York is 24th in the bigs with a 4.71 team ERA in their 46 games while Philadelphia is 15th with a 4.14 team ERA in their 47 games since the break. When diving into the road/home splits, these pitchers have shown they can give up runs as Sean Manaea is 0-2 with a 6.53 ERA and a .291 batting average against in 20.2 innings (five road games, four starts) while Ranger Suarez is 5-2 with a 3.68 ERA anda 1.23 WHIP in 71.0 innings (12 home starts) up to this point. The over has hit in four of the last six games against one another so take the over once again here.
