New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners Picks and Prediction for Monday June 1 2026
The New York Mets and Seattle Mariners meet on Monday, June 1, 2026, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 PM ET, with coverage available on MLB.TV. Seattle enters the matchup as a -136 moneyline favorite, while New York is listed at +113. The total is set at 7 runs, with the over carrying +103 odds and the under priced at -124. The Mets are +1.5 on the run line at -207, while the Mariners are -1.5 at +169. Be sure to check out our Free MLB picks for additional MLB betting analysis and predictions.
Starting Pitchers Featured in Seattle
New York is expected to start Austin Warren in this contest. Warren enters with a 1-1 record, a 1.40 ERA, and a 1.19 WHIP across 19.1 innings. He has allowed 14 hits, recorded 22 strikeouts, issued 9 walks, and surrendered just 1 home run. Seattle is expected to counter with Emerson Hancock, who comes into the game with a 4-2 record, a 2.78 ERA, and a 1.01 WHIP through 64.2 innings. Hancock has allowed 50 hits, struck out 63 batters, walked 15, and given up 8 home runs. Both starters have delivered solid numbers this season, with Warren owning the lower ERA while Hancock has worked significantly more innings and carries the lower WHIP.
New York Brings Momentum West
The Mets enter this matchup with a 26-33 overall record and an 11-18 road record. New York has won four of its last five games and enters this contest on a four-game winning streak. The Mets recently won over Miami by scores of 10-1, 6-1, and 9-7 in extra innings. Before that stretch, New York also recently defeated Cincinnati by a 4-2 score. Their only loss during the last five games came against Cincinnati by a 7-2 margin.
New York is batting .228 as a team with 229 runs, 441 hits, and 54 home runs. The Mets own a .293 on-base percentage and a .356 slugging percentage. On the mound, they carry a 3.87 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. The pitching staff has recorded 546 strikeouts while limiting opponents to a .236 batting average.
The biggest strength for New York is its ability to miss bats. The Mets have recorded 546 strikeouts, the highest total in this matchup. Their pitching staff has also maintained a respectable 3.87 ERA, helping the team stay competitive despite offensive numbers that rank behind Seattle in several categories.
Seattle Looks to Extend Winning Streak
Seattle enters this contest with a 31-29 overall record and a 17-15 home record. The Mariners have won five consecutive games and are playing some of their best baseball of the season. Seattle recently swept Arizona with victories of 3-2 in extra innings, 5-1, and 7-6 in extra innings. Prior to that series, the Mariners also recently won over Oakland by scores of 9-1 and 4-1.
The Mariners are batting .233 as a team with 252 runs, 457 hits, and 74 home runs. Seattle owns a .317 on-base percentage and a .395 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has been effective as well, posting a 3.51 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Seattle pitchers have recorded 501 strikeouts while allowing opponents to hit .246.
Seattle's biggest advantage comes from its power and run production. The Mariners have hit 74 home runs compared to New York's 54 while also scoring 252 runs compared to the Mets' 229. That offensive edge, combined with a lower team ERA, has helped Seattle maintain a winning record.
New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners Picks and Prediction
New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners Pick
- Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline
This projects as a competitive matchup between two teams carrying momentum into the series. However, Seattle gets the nod based on its stronger overall record, home-field advantage, and superior offensive production. The Mariners have scored more runs, collected more hits, and hit significantly more home runs than New York. Seattle has also won five straight games and owns the lower team ERA. While the Mets have pitched well and enter on a four-game winning streak, the overall team numbers slightly favor Seattle.
New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners Total Pick
- Pick: Under 7
I like the under because both teams feature quality starting pitching and solid overall pitching numbers. Warren enters with a 1.40 ERA, while Hancock owns a 2.78 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP. Seattle carries a 3.51 team ERA, and New York has posted a 3.87 ERA while leading this matchup in strikeouts. With a total of only 7 runs, this looks like a game that could be decided by pitching and defense rather than a high-scoring offensive battle.
Final Score Prediction: Seattle Mariners 4 – New York Mets 2