New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction for Monday June 29 2026
Use Code SSWC The New York Mets head north to face the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario, on Monday, June 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 PM ET, and the game will air on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks before placing any wagers.
Starting Pitchers Prepare for the Opener
Sean Manaea gets the ball for New York after posting a 1-2 record with a 4.87 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 57.1 innings. He has allowed 61 hits, struck out 60 batters, walked 20, and surrendered 6 home runs. Toronto will counter with Trey Yesavage, who is 3-3 with a 3.56 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP across 60.2 innings. He has given up 41 hits while recording 58 strikeouts, issuing 30 walks, and allowing 5 home runs. Based on the provided numbers, Yesavage enters this matchup with the stronger ERA, WHIP, and hits allowed.
New York Searches for Momentum on the Road
The Mets enter Monday’s contest with a 35-48 overall record and a 16-25 mark away from home. New York recently earned a victory over Philadelphia but dropped four consecutive games before that, including three losses to Chicago and another against Philadelphia. Although the Mets snapped the skid with their most recent win, they have gone 1-4 over their last five games.
New York owns a .231 team batting average with 335 runs, 641 hits, 92 home runs, a .298 on-base percentage, and a .375 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Mets have produced a 4.11 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, 295 walks, 760 strikeouts, and a .233 opponent batting average. They are also 17-18 in day games.
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One strength for the Mets is their ability to miss bats. Their pitching staff has accumulated 760 strikeouts while also limiting opponents to a .233 batting average, giving them an opportunity to stay competitive even when the offense has struggled to produce consistently.
Toronto Aims to End Its Recent Slide
The Blue Jays come into this matchup with a 39-44 overall record and a 22-23 home record. Toronto has lost each of its last five games, dropping three contests to Texas before suffering two losses against Houston. The Blue Jays will be looking to halt that losing streak as they return home.
Toronto is batting .249 with 341 runs, 696 hits, 85 home runs, a .311 on-base percentage, and a .392 slugging percentage. The Blue Jays have compiled a 4.17 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .243. They have also recorded 298 walks and 732 strikeouts, and they are 17-19 in day games.
The biggest strength for Toronto is its offense. The Blue Jays own the better batting average, more hits, higher on-base percentage, and stronger slugging percentage than New York. While the recent results have been disappointing, the overall offensive production gives Toronto a statistical edge entering this game.
New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction
New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick
- Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline
Toronto gets my pick despite its five-game losing streak. The Blue Jays have been the more productive offensive team throughout the season, and Trey Yesavage enters with better pitching numbers than Sean Manaea based on ERA, WHIP, and hits allowed. New York has shown solid strikeout production on the mound, but Toronto’s overall offensive advantage and stronger projected starter make the Blue Jays the side I prefer.
New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Total Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
I would take the under if the total is set at 8.5. Toronto’s projected starter owns a 3.56 ERA and has limited opponents to just 41 hits over 60.2 innings, while New York’s pitching staff has held opponents to a .233 batting average this season. Although Toronto has been the better offensive club statistically, both teams have produced fewer than 350 runs through their current schedules, making the under my preferred play.
Final Score Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays 5 – New York Mets 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Sunday.
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