New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction for Wednesday July 1 2026
The New York Mets travel to Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario, on Wednesday, July 1, 2026, for a matchup against the Toronto Blue Jays. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07 PM ET, with coverage available on ESPN Unlmtd and MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers for New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays
Freddy Peralta is scheduled to start for the Mets. He enters with a 5-6 record, a 4.53 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and 91.1 innings pitched. He has allowed 90 hits, struck out 88 batters, walked 35, and surrendered 12 home runs. Patrick Corbin gets the nod for Toronto with a 2-4 record, a 5.09 ERA, a 1.55 WHIP, and 69.0 innings pitched. He has allowed 83 hits, recorded 52 strikeouts, walked 24, and given up nine home runs.
New York Searches for an Improved Road Result
The Mets come into this contest with a 35-50 overall record and a 16-26 record away from home. New York recently lost to Toronto 2-1 after dropping a 5-4 game to Philadelphia. Before those defeats, the Mets earned a 6-2 victory over Philadelphia but also lost 2-1 to Philadelphia and 4-3 in 10 innings to the Cubs. That leaves New York with one win in its last five games.
The Mets own a .230 batting average with 340 runs, 655 hits, and 94 home runs. They have produced a .299 on-base percentage and a .374 slugging percentage. On the mound, New York has posted a 4.10 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP, allowing opponents to hit .233. The Mets are also 17-19 in day games.
The biggest strength for New York is its ability to limit opposing hitters. The Mets have the better opponent batting average and a slightly lower WHIP than Toronto. Even with recent offensive struggles, those pitching numbers give New York an opportunity to stay competitive.
Toronto Hopes to Build on Its Latest Victory
The Blue Jays enter the game with a 40-45 overall record and a 23-24 mark at home. Toronto recently defeated the Mets 2-1 but had previously dropped four consecutive games to Texas by scores of 3-2, 7-4, 5-4, and 6-5. That leaves the Blue Jays with one victory over their last five games.
Toronto enters the matchup batting .247 with 345 runs, 706 hits, and 86 home runs. The Blue Jays have a .310 on-base percentage and a .389 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 4.12 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP while holding opponents to a .242 batting average. Toronto is 17-20 in day games.
Toronto’s advantage comes from its offense. The Blue Jays hold the edge in batting average, runs scored, hits, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Although the home run total trails New York, Toronto has consistently produced more overall offense based on the provided team statistics.
New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction
New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick
- Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline
I’ll side with Toronto in this matchup. The Blue Jays won the first meeting of the series 2-1 and have the stronger offensive numbers in batting average, runs scored, hits, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. While New York owns slightly better overall pitching numbers, Toronto’s recent head-to-head victory and offensive edge make the Blue Jays my selection.
New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Total Pick
- Take the under if the total is set at 8.5.
I would lean toward the under if the total is set at 8.5. These clubs combined for only three runs in their most recent meeting, and both offenses have averaged fewer than 350 runs on the season according to the provided data. New York also owns the better opponent batting average, while Toronto has allowed just a 4.12 team ERA. I think another lower-scoring game is the stronger play.
Final Score Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays 4 – New York Mets 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.