New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction for Wednesday August 19, 2026

The New York Yankees visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland, to face the Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday, August 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET, with coverage available on MLB.TV, Prime Video and MLB Network. New York enters the matchup at 69-55 overall and 38-28 on the road, while Baltimore is 61-64 overall and 32-30 at home. The Yankees have won five of the first seven meetings between these teams this season, although Baltimore has played better recently with three victories in its last four games. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Bettors looking for more baseball analysis can check out our free MLB picks throughout the season.

Starting Pitchers

Will Warren is scheduled to start for New York and enters with an 8-6 record, 4.42 ERA and 1.41 WHIP across 118 innings. He has allowed 125 hits and 41 walks while recording 117 strikeouts and surrendering 18 home runs. Baltimore counters with Chris Bassitt, who is 4-4 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.62 WHIP over 61.2 innings. Bassitt has allowed 75 hits and 25 walks while striking out 40 and giving up six home runs. The Yankees hold the statistical edge in both ERA and WHIP from the starting pitching matchup.

Yankees Lean on Their Stronger Pitching Profile

New York enters Wednesday at 69-55 overall and 38-28 away from home. The Yankees are 2-3 over their last five games, with their most recent result a 4-3 extra-inning victory over Toronto. Before that win, New York dropped three straight games, losing 4-1 and 3-1 to Toronto after a 1-0 setback against Seattle. Their other recent victory came in a 10-5 win over Seattle.

For the season, the Yankees are batting .229 with a .308 on-base percentage and .408 slugging percentage. They have scored 551 runs on 940 hits while hitting 171 home runs. The pitching staff has been the clear strength, entering with a 3.26 ERA and 1.18 WHIP while holding opponents to a .225 batting average. New York has issued 380 walks and recorded 1,113 strikeouts.

The biggest advantage for the Yankees is run prevention. Their team ERA is nearly a full run better than Baltimore's, and their WHIP and opponent batting average are also considerably stronger. New York's offense has struggled recently, but its season-long power and pitching numbers give it a solid foundation in this matchup.

Orioles Bring Better Recent Offensive Form

Baltimore enters the matchup at 61-64 overall and 32-30 at home. The Orioles are 3-2 across their last five games and nearly made it four wins in a row before falling 7-6 to Tampa Bay. Baltimore had previously beaten the Rays by scores of 10-2, 4-3 in 10 innings and 6-5, giving the Orioles a much stronger recent offensive profile than New York.

The Orioles are batting .238 with a .321 on-base percentage and .399 slugging percentage. Baltimore has scored 569 runs on 988 hits while hitting 151 home runs. The pitching staff owns a 4.24 ERA and 1.35 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .254. Baltimore has issued 418 walks and recorded 988 strikeouts.

Baltimore's strongest argument is its recent run production. The Orioles have scored at least four runs in four straight games and have reached six or more in three of those contests. However, their season-long pitching numbers remain a concern, especially against a Yankees team that has already controlled much of the season series.

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction

Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline

New York is the preferred side in this matchup because of its overall pitching advantage and stronger road record. The Yankees enter with a 3.26 team ERA and 1.18 WHIP, both significantly better than Baltimore's marks, and their projected starter also owns the better ERA and WHIP. Baltimore has been playing better offensively recently, but the Yankees have the stronger full-season profile and have already won five of seven meetings between the clubs.

Pick: Over 8.5

Take the over if the total is set at 8.5. Baltimore's offense has been much more productive recently, scoring 27 runs across its last four games, while both projected starters enter with ERAs above 4.00. The Yankees have struggled offensively in several recent contests, but their season-long power numbers remain strong enough to create scoring opportunities against a Baltimore staff carrying a 4.24 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. The starting pitching matchup and Baltimore's recent offensive surge make the over the stronger total angle.

This game preview was completed prior to play on Tuesday.