New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Prediction for Sunday, September 14, 2025
In our Yankees vs. Red Sox prediction, the New York Yankees are second in the AL East with an 82-65 record so far. They are having young right-hander Will Warren get the start as he is coming off a no-decision against the Detroit Tigers, where he pitched six innings and allowed two runs on two hits with one walk and five strikeouts.
The Boston Red Sox are playing well as they are sitting in third place in the AL East with an 81-67 record entering this game. Young left-hander Garrett Crochet takes the ball and is coming off a victory over the Athletics, where he allowed no runs on three hits with zero walks and 10 strikeouts in seven innings of work.
Cover the diamond — MLB picks for New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox in a fast read
WRITTEN BEFORE SATURDAY’S GAME
Yankees Looking to Capture AL East Crown
The New York Yankees have been an incredible offensive team as they are first in the sport with a .784 team OPS while averaging 5.2 runs per game. New York has been hitting home runs at an incredible rate as it leads MLB with 250 total homers. Right fielder Aaron Judge has been hitting at an incredible level as he has a 1.117 OPS with 47 home runs, 101 RBI, 120 runs scored, and 11 steals while being caught four times.
Will Warren has been struggling, according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the seventh percentile in chase percentage, eighth percentile in average exit velocity, 10th percentile in barrel percentage, and 12th percentile in hard hit percentage. He has a five-pitch arsenal (fastball, sinker, sweeper, changeup, curveball) and his fastball has been his best pitch as hitters have a .194 batting average and .323 slugging percentage with six home runs and 66 strikeouts against it. Warren faced the Red Sox twice this season and is 1-1 in 9.1 innings and giving up nine runs on 10 hits with one hit by pitch, seven walks, and nine strikeouts.
Injury Report for New York
- Shortstop Anthony Volpe: Shoulder (Questionable)
- Pitcher Brent Headrick: Forearm (OUT)
- Pitcher Jonathan Loaisiga: Back (OUT)
- Pitcher Clarke Schmidt: Forearm (OUT)
- Third baseman Oswaldo Cabrera: Ankle (OUT)
- Pitcher Jake Cousins: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Gerrit Cole: Elbow (OUT)
Sign Up for StatSalt News Alerts, Get Free Picks and Discounts
Subscribe Now
Red Sox Looking to Capture Top AL Wild Card Spot
The Boston Red Sox are doing a solid job at the plate as they are eighth in the bigs with a .747 team OPS while scoring 4.91 runs per game. The team has been able to step up and get extra-base hits as they lead MLB with 300 doubles. Shortstop Trevor Story has been stepping up as he is posting a .261/.308/.440 slash line with 24 home runs, 91 RBI, 83 runs scored, and 28 steals without being caught.
Garrett Crochet is pitching excellently this season when diving into his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 92nd percentile in strikeout percentage, 90th percentile in chase percentage, 88th percentile in walk percentage, and 87th percentile in xERA. He has five different pitches (fastball, cutter, sweeper, sinker, changeup) and his sweeper has been his best pitch as hitters have a .123 batting average and .187 slugging percentage with two home runs and 78 strikeouts. Crochet faced the Yankees three different times already this season as he is 2-0 in 21.1 innings and allowed seven runs on 15 hits with three walks and 27 strikeouts.
Injury Report for Boston
- First baseman Romy Gonzalez: Knee (Questionable)
- Pitcher Brennan Bernardino: Lat (OUT)
- Second baseman Vaughn Grissom: Foot (OUT)
- Pitcher Dustin May: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Jordan Hicks: Shoulder (OUT)
- Right fielder Roman Anthony: Oblique (OUT)
- Third baseman Marcelo Mayer: Wrist (OUT)
- Pitcher Richard Fitts: Biceps (OUT)
- Right fielder Wilyer Abreu: Calf (OUT)
- Pitcher Luis Guerrero: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Tanner Houck: Flexor (OUT)
- Pitcher Hunter Dobbins: Knee (OUT)
- Pitcher Liam Hendriks: Hip (OUT)
- Pitcher Josh Winckowski: Elbow (OUT)
- First baseman Triston Casas: Knee (OUT)
- Pitcher Kutter Crawford: Knee (OUT)
- Pitcher Patrick Sandoval: Elbow (OUT)
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Pick
Spread Pick for New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
- New York Yankees ML (4 units)
When looking at how these starting pitchers perform, there is a slight difference as Will Warren is 2-1 with a 2.97 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in 36.1 innings, while Garrett Crochet is 3-1 with a 3.68 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP in 44.0 innings during that stretch. There is a gap offensively in the previous 30 days as New York is averaging 5.88 runs in their last 26 games, while Boston is scoring 4.35 runs in their previous 26 games. All in all, go with the New York Yankees to win this game as the better bet.
Over/Under Pick for New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
- Over (4 units)
Both teams have been hitting relatively well with runners in scoring position as the Yankees are 12th with a .766 team OPS in those chances, while the Red Sox are 14th with a .756 team OPS with runners in scoring position so far. Both teams in September have struggled on the mound as New York ranks 23rd with a 4.96 team ERA while Boston is 20th with a 4.43 team ERA in that stretch. The over has hit in three of the previous five games between these rival,s so take the over once again.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Bet $5 & Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose
