New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Picks and Prediction for Monday June 8 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/08/2026, 04:25 AM ET
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The New York Yankees visit the Cleveland Guardians on Monday, June 8, 2026, at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET, with coverage on MLB.TV and FS1. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers Could Decide a Tight Matchup

New York is expected to start Will Warren, who enters with a 7-1 record, a 3.22 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, 64.1 innings pitched, 58 hits allowed, 70 strikeouts, 19 walks, and seven home runs allowed. Cleveland is expected to start Gavin Williams, who comes in at 9-3 with a 3.20 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, 81.2 innings pitched, 63 hits allowed, 94 strikeouts, 25 walks, and 11 home runs allowed.

New York Tries to Lean on Power and Pitching

New York enters at 37-26 overall and 19-14 on the road. The Yankees have gone 2-3 over their last five games, recently winning over Cleveland and Athletics while recently losing to Boston and Cleveland twice.

New York is batting .241 with 318 runs, 500 hits, 91 home runs, a .329 on-base percentage, and a .432 slugging percentage. The pitching staff has a 3.30 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, 191 walks, 539 strikeouts, and a .223 opponent batting average.

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The biggest strength for New York is the combination of power and run production. The Yankees lead this matchup in runs, home runs, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average, giving them several statistical advantages.

Cleveland Brings a Strong Record Into Its Own Park

Cleveland comes into the matchup at 37-29 overall and 17-14 at home. The Guardians have gone 3-2 across their last five games, recently winning over Texas and New York while recently losing to Texas and New York.

Cleveland is batting .232 with 272 runs, 501 hits, 63 home runs, a .317 on-base percentage, and a .376 slugging percentage. The pitching staff owns a 3.67 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, 215 walks, 605 strikeouts, and a .235 opponent batting average.

Cleveland’s standout team strength is strikeout production on the mound. The Guardians have 605 strikeouts, which is higher than New York’s total, and that gives them a path to keeping this game close if the pitching staff limits traffic.

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Picks and Prediction

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Pick

  • Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline

This is a close matchup based on the records and matchup predictor, but New York has more statistical edges. The Yankees have scored more runs, hit more home runs, own the better slugging percentage, and also have the lower ERA and WHIP. With those advantages, I’ll take New York to win on the road.

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Total Pick

  • Take the under if the total is set at 8.

I would lean under if the number is 8 because both expected starters enter with ERAs close to 3.20, and both teams have pitching staffs with ERAs below 3.70.

Final Score Prediction: New York Yankees 4 – Cleveland Guardians 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Sunday.

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