New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction for Saturday, July 25, 2026
The New York Yankees visit the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on Saturday, July 25, 2026. The opening pitch is scheduled for 6:05 p.m. ET, with television coverage available on MLB.TV. New York enters the matchup at 57-45 overall and 31-22 on the road, while Philadelphia stands at 56-47 overall and 27-25 at home. ESPN Analytics views this as a nearly even matchup, giving the Yankees a 49.1% chance of winning and the Phillies a narrow 50.9% probability. The game-time temperature is listed at 80 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks before Saturday’s MLB action begins.
Starting Pitchers for New York and Philadelphia
Ryan Weathers is scheduled to start for New York after compiling a 3-7 record with a 4.40 ERA and 1.27 WHIP through 102.1 innings. The left-hander has allowed 101 hits and 17 home runs while recording 115 strikeouts against 29 walks. Philadelphia had not announced its scheduled starter at the time the supplied game information was compiled.
New York Carries a Strong Road Record into Philadelphia
New York enters Saturday with a 57-45 overall record and an impressive 31-22 mark away from home. The Yankees recently split two games against Pittsburgh on the same day, winning 2-0 before losing 5-3 in 10 innings. They also recently defeated Pittsburgh 8-5 and earned a 2-1 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers after losing another meeting with Los Angeles 8-2. New York has consequently gone 3-2 across its last five games, with three of those contests decided by two runs or fewer.
The Yankees are batting .236 with 795 hits, 480 runs and 147 home runs. Their offense carries a .315 on-base percentage and a .420 slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff owns a 3.38 ERA and 1.18 WHIP while holding opposing hitters to a .226 batting average. The staff has accumulated 902 strikeouts while issuing 308 walks. The Yankees have also recorded a 20-17 mark in day games.
New York’s clearest strength is its overall pitching performance. The Yankees hold substantial advantages over Philadelphia in team ERA, WHIP and opponent batting average. Their staff has allowed fewer baserunners while limiting opponents to a .226 average. The offense has also supplied more power, producing 147 home runs compared with Philadelphia’s 135. New York’s 31 road victories further demonstrate that the team has been capable of performing effectively away from home.
Philadelphia Looks to Recover Behind Its Home Crowd
Philadelphia comes into the game at 56-47 overall with a 27-25 record at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies recently lost consecutive games against the Los Angeles Dodgers by scores of 9-5 and 2-1 after winning the previous meeting 10-7. They also recently split two games against the New York Mets, losing 6-1 before recording a 6-1 victory. Philadelphia has gone 2-3 across its last five contests and has alternated between productive and limited offensive performances.
The Phillies are hitting .236 with 817 hits, 448 runs and 135 home runs. Their lineup owns a .303 on-base percentage and a .402 slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has recorded a 4.27 ERA and 1.32 WHIP while permitting opponents to bat .255. The staff has registered 1,004 strikeouts against 301 walks. The Phillies enter this matchup with a 17-20 record in day games.
Philadelphia’s most notable strength is its ability to generate strikeouts. The Phillies have recorded 1,004, exceeding New York’s total by 102. Philadelphia has also collected 22 more hits than the Yankees while issuing seven fewer walks from the mound. However, its overall run prevention has not matched New York’s level. The Phillies have the higher team ERA and WHIP while allowing opponents to hit 29 points better. Philadelphia has also scored 32 fewer runs despite playing one additional game.
New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction
New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick
- Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline
New York is the preferred side despite ESPN Analytics giving Philadelphia the narrowest of advantages. The Yankees possess the better overall record and a strong 31-22 road mark, while Philadelphia sits only two games above .500 at home. New York has also won three of its last five games, compared with Philadelphia’s 2-3 record during the same span.
The season-long pitching numbers provide the strongest reason to back the Yankees. New York owns a 3.38 team ERA and 1.18 WHIP, while Philadelphia enters with a 4.27 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. The Yankees have also held opponents to a .226 batting average compared with the Phillies’ .255 mark. Philadelphia’s undecided starter introduces uncertainty into the pitching matchup, but New York’s superior team pitching, stronger road record and greater home-run production make the visiting side the selection.
New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Total Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
Take the under if the total is set at 8.5. New York’s pitching staff has been one of the strongest elements presented in this matchup, carrying a 3.38 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and .226 opponent batting average. The Yankees have also played several recent lower-scoring contests, including victories of 2-0 and 2-1.
Philadelphia has scored one run in two of its last four games, while New York has allowed two runs or fewer in three of its five most recent contests. Although the teams combined for higher totals in several other recent games, the Yankees’ overall run-prevention numbers support a lower-scoring prediction. New York’s scheduled starter has also issued only 29 walks through 102.1 innings, which could help reduce Philadelphia’s opportunities to build larger innings.
Final Score Prediction: New York Yankees 4 – Philadelphia Phillies 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.