New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction for Sunday, July 26, 2026

The New York Yankees visit the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on Sunday, July 26, 2026. The game is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET and will be televised nationally on NBC and Peacock. New York enters the matchup with a 58-45 overall record and a strong 32-22 road mark, while Philadelphia stands at 56-48 overall and 27-26 at home. ESPN Analytics gives the Yankees a 39.3 percent chance of winning and the Phillies a 60.7 percent chance. The game information lists a temperature of 83 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers for New York and Philadelphia

New York is scheduled to start Will Warren, who enters with a 7-4 record, a 4.00 ERA, and a 1.37 WHIP across 99 innings. The right-hander has allowed 102 hits and 14 home runs while recording 97 strikeouts and issuing 34 walks. Philadelphia is expected to counter with Cristopher Sanchez. The left-hander owns a 12-4 record with a 2.71 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP through 132.2 innings, allowing 133 hits and 12 home runs while collecting 151 strikeouts and issuing only 25 walks.

New York Carries Strong Pitching and Road Form into Philadelphia

The Yankees enter Sunday with a 58-45 overall record and an impressive 32-22 mark away from home. New York recently defeated Philadelphia 1-0 after splitting two home games against Pittsburgh by scores of 2-0 and 3-5, with the loss coming in 10 innings. The Yankees also defeated Pittsburgh 8-5 and earned a 2-1 victory over Los Angeles. New York has therefore won four of its five most recent contests, including two consecutive games without allowing a run.

New York is batting .234 with 481 runs, 798 hits, and 148 home runs. The Yankees have produced a .314 on-base percentage and a .418 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns an excellent 3.35 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP while issuing 308 walks and recording 915 strikeouts. Opposing hitters are batting only .225 against New York, which has compiled a 20-17 record in day games.

The Yankees’ most substantial advantages appear in power, run production, and overall pitching performance. New York has hit 148 home runs, giving it a 13-home-run advantage over Philadelphia, and its .418 slugging percentage is 18 points higher. The Yankees have also scored 33 more runs despite recording 23 fewer hits. Their pitching staff holds significant advantages in ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. New York’s 32-22 road record and current run of four victories in five games further strengthen the visiting team’s case.

Philadelphia Turns to Its Starting-Pitching Advantage

The Phillies enter this contest with a 56-48 overall record and a narrow 27-26 winning record at Citizens Bank Park. Philadelphia recently suffered a 1-0 home loss to New York after dropping two of three supplied games against Los Angeles. The Phillies lost those contests by scores of 9-5 and 2-1 but earned a 10-7 victory in the other meeting. Philadelphia also recently suffered a 6-1 home loss against New York, leaving the club with one victory and four defeats across its five most recent games.

Philadelphia is batting .235 with 448 runs, 821 hits, and 135 home runs. The Phillies have posted a .302 on-base percentage and a .400 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff carries a 4.23 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP while issuing 302 walks and collecting 1,016 strikeouts. Opponents are batting .254 against Philadelphia, which owns a 17-19 record in day games.

The Phillies’ strongest advantage comes from the scheduled pitching matchup. Philadelphia’s starter holds advantages in record, ERA, WHIP, innings, strikeouts, walks, and home runs allowed. The Phillies have also recorded 101 more strikeouts than the Yankees as a pitching staff while issuing six fewer walks. Philadelphia owns a narrow edge in team batting average and has collected 23 more hits. The 60.7 percent matchup predictor support is another positive factor, but the Phillies must overcome their recent four-loss stretch and New York’s considerable advantages in team pitching and overall offensive production.

New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction

New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick

• Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline

Philadelphia is the selection because of its notable advantage in the scheduled starting-pitching matchup and the 60.7 percent support it receives from the matchup predictor. The Phillies’ scheduled starter enters with a 12-4 record, a 2.71 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and 151 strikeouts across 132.2 innings. New York owns the stronger overall pitching statistics, better recent form, and superior road record, making this a challenging selection. However, Philadelphia’s starting-pitching edge provides the strongest individual factor in this matchup and creates an opportunity for the Phillies to reverse their recent results.

New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Total Pick

• Pick: Under

Take the under if the total is set at 8.5. Four of New York’s last five games finished with eight combined runs or fewer, including final scores of 1-0, 2-0, 5-3, and 2-1. Three of Philadelphia’s five most recent games also stayed below the suggested total, including the recent 1-0 loss to the Yankees. New York’s pitching staff owns a 3.35 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .225 opponent batting average, while Philadelphia’s scheduled starter carries a 2.71 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Those pitching numbers and recent low-scoring results make the under the preferred selection.

Final Score Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies 4 – New York Yankees 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.