New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, July 7, 2026
Use Code SSWC The New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays meet on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET, and the game will be televised on MLB.TV and TBS. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks before making your selections.
Starting Pitching Outlook
The Yankees are scheduled to start Will Warren in this American League East matchup. Warren enters with a 7-3 record, a 3.73 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and 89.1 innings pitched. He has allowed 90 hits while striking out 91 batters, issuing 29 walks, and surrendering 10 home runs. Tampa Bay has not yet announced a starting pitcher for this game.
Yankees Try to Reverse a Difficult Stretch
New York enters Tuesday’s contest with a 49-40 overall record and a 26-20 record on the road. The Yankees have dropped four of their last five games, recently losing to Minnesota two times and Detroit twice. Their lone victory during that stretch also came against Minnesota. While New York has maintained a winning record this season, it will look to regain momentum after a challenging homestand.
The Yankees are batting .235 with 427 runs, 691 hits, and 128 home runs. They own a .318 on-base percentage and a .419 slugging percentage. On the mound, New York has produced a 3.39 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .228. The pitching staff has issued 272 walks and recorded 779 strikeouts. The Yankees are 17-15 in day games.
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The biggest strength for New York has been its pitching efficiency. The Yankees own the lower ERA, lower opponent batting average, and a strong WHIP. Their lineup has also supplied plenty of power with 128 home runs, giving them an opportunity to change a game quickly despite recent results.
Tampa Bay Returns Home After a Winning Road Trip
The Rays come into this matchup with a 52-35 overall record and an outstanding 31-12 record at home. Tampa Bay has won three of its last five games, recently defeating Houston once and Kansas City twice before dropping its final two games against Houston. Even with those losses, the Rays have continued to build one of the better records in the league.
Tampa Bay is batting .259 with 396 runs, 751 hits, and 84 home runs. The Rays have a .337 on-base percentage and a .397 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 3.75 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .232. Tampa Bay has walked 236 batters and struck out 686. The Rays are 20-16 in day games.
One of Tampa Bay’s biggest strengths has been its consistency at home. The Rays have also paired a solid pitching staff with a lineup that owns the better batting average and on-base percentage in this matchup. Those numbers have helped them build one of the strongest home records among the teams in this game.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Prediction
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Pick
- Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline
I’m backing the Rays because they own the better overall record and an outstanding 31-12 home record. Tampa Bay is also favored by the matchup predictor, and its combination of strong home play and efficient offensive numbers makes the home team the side I trust most in this matchup.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Total Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
I would take the under if the total is set at 8.5. New York enters with a team ERA of 3.39, while Tampa Bay owns a 3.75 ERA. Both clubs have WHIPs close to 1.20 and have limited opponents to batting averages below .235. I think the pitching numbers point toward a lower-scoring game than many might expect.
Final Score Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays 4 – New York Yankees 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.
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