New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction for Friday, July 10, 2026
Use Code SSWC The New York Yankees travel to face the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park in Washington, District of Columbia, on Friday, July 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 PM ET, and the game will be televised on MLB.TV. The Yankees enter with a 50-42 record and a 27-22 mark on the road, while the Nationals are 48-46 overall with a 20-28 home record. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics gives the Yankees a 50.7% chance to win compared to 49.3% for Washington. Be sure to check out our free MLB Picks.
Starting Pitchers
The Yankees are expected to send Ryan Weathers to the mound. He enters the game with a 3-7 record, a 4.29 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and 92.1 innings pitched. He has allowed 88 hits and 16 home runs while striking out 104 batters and issuing 27 walks. Washington is expected to counter with Zack Littell, who is 7-6 with a 5.02 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 86.0 innings. He has surrendered 87 hits and 22 home runs while recording 52 strikeouts and 26 walks. Based on the supplied statistics, Weathers owns the lower ERA, lower WHIP, higher strikeout total, and has allowed fewer home runs than Littell.
New York Looks to End Its Recent Slide
The Yankees enter Friday night’s matchup with a 50-42 overall record and a solid 27-22 record away from home. However, they have dropped four of their last five games. New York recently lost to Tampa Bay twice, earned one victory over Tampa Bay, and previously lost two games against Minnesota. Despite the recent results, the Yankees still own one of the better overall records among the two clubs entering this contest.
New York is batting .234 as a team while producing 436 runs, 711 hits, and 132 home runs. The Yankees own a .315 on-base percentage and a .417 slugging percentage. On the mound, they have compiled a 3.40 team ERA with a 1.19 WHIP while holding opponents to a .228 batting average. Their pitching staff has recorded 801 strikeouts against 276 walks.
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The biggest strength for New York is its pitching staff. The Yankees have a significantly lower ERA and WHIP than Washington while also allowing opponents to hit just .228. Even though the offense has cooled recently, the overall pitching numbers continue to stand out.
Washington Brings Offensive Production Into the Weekend
The Nationals come into the series with a 48-46 overall record, although they have struggled at home with a 20-28 mark. Washington has split its last five games, recently defeating Houston twice while also losing once to Houston and dropping two contests against Pittsburgh. The Nationals will try to build on their latest 8-2 victory as they open this series.
Washington has been productive offensively, batting .251 with 508 runs, 809 hits, and 132 home runs. The Nationals also own a .325 on-base percentage and a .435 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has posted a 4.76 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .259. Washington has recorded 744 strikeouts and issued 330 walks.
The Nationals’ greatest strength has been their offense. They hold advantages over New York in batting average, runs scored, hits, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. That offensive production has helped keep Washington above .500 despite allowing more runs than the Yankees.
New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction
New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Pick
- Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline
The matchup appears very even, as reflected by the nearly identical matchup predictor percentages. However, I give the edge to New York because of its stronger pitching profile. The Yankees own the lower team ERA, lower WHIP, lower opponent batting average, and their starting pitcher also carries stronger statistical numbers than Washington’s starter. Those advantages are enough for me to back the Yankees on the road.
New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Total Pick
- Pick: Over 8.5
I like the over if the total is set at 8.5. Washington has scored 508 runs this season and owns strong offensive numbers across several categories, while the Nationals’ team ERA of 4.76 suggests opportunities for New York’s lineup as well. With both clubs capable of producing home runs, I believe this matchup finishes above the total.
Final Score Prediction: New York Yankees 6 – Washington Nationals 4
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.
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