New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction for July 11, 2026
Use Code SSWC The New York Yankees travel to Nationals Park in Washington, District of Columbia, for a Saturday afternoon matchup against the Washington Nationals. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET on July 11, 2026, with coverage available on MLB.TV. The Yankees enter the contest with a 51-42 record and a 28-22 road mark, while the Nationals are 48-46 overall and 20-28 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers
Cam Schlittler is scheduled to start for the Yankees, while Miles Mikolas gets the ball for the Nationals. Schlittler enters the game with a 9-5 record, a 2.01 ERA, and an outstanding 0.93 WHIP over 112.0 innings. He has allowed 83 hits while striking out 131 batters against just 21 walks and has surrendered 10 home runs. Mikolas is 3-7 with a 5.78 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP through 90.1 innings. He has given up 101 hits, struck out 50, walked 19, and allowed 20 home runs. Based on the supplied numbers, New York has a significant edge in the starting pitching matchup.
New York Looks to Build on Its Strong Season
The Yankees are 51-42 overall and have produced a solid 28-22 record away from home. They have gone 2-3 over their last five games, recently defeating Tampa Bay 12-4 after dropping consecutive games to the Rays by scores of 3-0 and 6-4. Before that series, New York earned a 5-1 victory over Tampa Bay but fell 6-1 to Minnesota.
New York is batting .235 with 725 hits, 448 runs, and 135 home runs. The Yankees own a .316 on-base percentage and a .420 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has been one of their biggest strengths, posting a 3.41 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP while recording 810 strikeouts and limiting opponents to a .228 batting average. The Yankees have also gone 18-15 in day games.
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The greatest strength for New York is its pitching. The Yankees have the better ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average compared with Washington. They have also hit more home runs despite scoring fewer total runs, giving them the ability to change a game quickly while relying on a pitching staff that has consistently limited opposing offenses.
Washington Hopes Home Field Sparks Another Win
The Nationals enter Saturday with a 48-46 overall record and a 20-28 mark at Nationals Park. Washington has posted a 2-3 record over its last five games. The Nationals recently defeated Houston 8-2 and 12-11 while splitting a three-game set with the Astros. Prior to that series, Washington dropped back-to-back games against Pittsburgh by scores of 11-5 and 7-1.
Washington is batting .251 with 809 hits, 508 runs, and 132 home runs. The Nationals own a .325 on-base percentage and a .435 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has produced a 4.76 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP while recording 744 strikeouts. Opposing hitters are batting .259 against Washington. The Nationals have compiled a 21-22 record in day games.
Washington’s biggest advantage is its offense. The Nationals have scored 60 more runs than the Yankees while also producing more hits, a higher batting average, a better on-base percentage, and a stronger slugging percentage. The challenge has been preventing runs consistently, as their team ERA and WHIP are both higher than New York’s entering this matchup.
New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction
New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Pick
- Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline
New York is the stronger play based on the supplied information. The Yankees have the better overall record, the stronger road record, and a substantial edge on the mound. Their starting pitcher enters with a 2.01 ERA and 0.93 WHIP, while Washington’s starter carries a 5.78 ERA. The Yankees also own the better team ERA and WHIP, and the matchup predictor favors them by a comfortable margin at 66.7%. Although Washington has been the more productive offensive club this season, New York’s pitching advantage is difficult to overlook.
New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Total Pick
- Take the under if the total is set at 8.5.
I would lean toward the under if the total is set at 8.5. New York enters with a 3.41 team ERA and one of the stronger starting pitching profiles in the matchup. While Washington has scored consistently throughout the season, the Yankees have allowed opponents to bat only .228. The recent results also include several lower-scoring performances by New York, making the under my preferred play if the number opens at 8.5.
Final Score Prediction: New York Yankees 5 – Washington Nationals 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.
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